…did everyone enjoy the Pro Bowl in the meantime?
Yup, I actually watched some of it…must have been bored.
This year they must have added a new feature. Two hand touch. There were actually plays in the game that the player wasn’t actually tackled. The whistle blew when a guy got wrapped up…and pretty quickly, I may add.
So it was useless as usual, pretty much like any sports’ All-Star Game. Though in the Major League Baseball All-Star Game it looks like the players actually try. The NHL one last week was equally as brutal to watch I have to say.
And in the Pro Bowl, Matthew Slater didn’t even get in the box score. I think we should all be colossally disappointed in that…
As for what we are actually here for, the Super Bowl pick between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, welp, no, I did not forget that I had to make a pick.
Maybe I got a little sad about football season being over. Maybe I got caught up in all of the “will he go or will he stay” Tom Brady talk, when there is at least a month and a half to go to get the answer on that. Maybe I just didn’t want to make another erroneous pick in a season full of mediocre picks. Maybe I felt like that since the New England Patriots aren’t actually in the game, I didn’t care. Or…maybe I just got lazy.
Whichever one you choose, we are going to skip right to it.
This one is going to be short and sweet. So if you were expecting a 10,000 word column on the game and all of its matchups and all the minutiae that we could talk about if we wanted to, I suggest you go check out Bill Barnwell’s column on ESPN.
I’m sure the piece is awesome. It looks extremely detailed with a ton of thought put into it. Any questions you had about the game could probably be answered just by reading the article.
But I don’t have a week to read that book. I did skim it, however, so go check it out if you are so inclined. By the way, looks like 10,462 words by my count. Not including the pictures and charts and their captions. Or the ads and links sandwiched in between. And no, I didn’t actually count the words (thanks Microsoft Word!). So give or take 100 words, it’s still over 10,000 words.
Barnwell gets paid to write and research all that, so good for him. I do not.
Ok, so enough of all that nonsense…
San Francisco “at” Kansas City (-1.5)
I have not listened to as much of the hype, or read much of it, the last two weeks as I have in past years. Yes, the big reason is that the Patriots are not in it. But then again, I don’t care much about what a lot of the “experts” have to say about the game.
Championship Sunday was relatively uneventful. The Tennessee Titans stayed with the Chiefs, but KC pulled away late…as most expected. One of the better Blowhard picks of the year, by the way. We predicted KC 34-24. It was 35-24. Just sayin’. The 49ers ran over the Green Bay Packers in a game that was never in doubt. The Blowhard pick there? Let’s move on…
In any event, the hype that I have heard this week has been about how great the SF defense is. Ummmmmm…don’t we know how great the KC offense is? And do we already forget about how the New Orleans Saints rolled up 46 points against the Niners in Week 14? Or the Rams with 31 in Week 16? Or even the Falcons with 29 in Week 15?
This SF D can be exposed. And who better to do it than Patrick Mahomes and the KC offense?
I’ve heard a lot about how the Chief defense is atrocious as well. And that may be somewhat true. But they have improved as the year went on. And the 31 the Houston Texans scored against them in the Divisional Round were aided by Houston getting good field position a few times on some KC mistakes. The Chiefs D was good enough to hold down the NFL’s leading rusher in Derrick Henry in the AFC Championship Game though, no? Did you know that the Chiefs actually gave up 2 fewer points than the Niners this season? Me neither.
It’s hard to believe the 49ers will roll up almost 300 yards rushing again. Raheem Mostert has apparently turned into a legitimate weapon, but will he duplicate his Championship Game performance? Doubtful. Tevin Coleman is supposedly “healthy”, but that may be a stretch after seeing what he looked like laying on the field two weeks ago. And the team is afraid to use Matt Breida all of a sudden because apparently has fumbled too much lately.
This means Niner QB Jimmy Garoppolo will have to throw way more than the EIGHT passes he attempted against the Packers. Can he be productive? Sure, he absolutely can. But I’d rather be the team that has Mahomes throwing a boatload of passes, not Garoppolo.
Not to mention that the Niners and coach Kyle Shanahan feel Jimmy Football can get a little loose with the football when asked to do too much. So they’d rather have him take a back seat if they could. I just don’t believe the Chiefs offense will give San Francisco a chance to gain control of the game by getting a nice lead and then running it on just about every play.
Now, I’ve been wrong plenty, as you know. But the feeling here is that there will be a lot of points scored in this one. Yeah, I know, I picked the Pats over the Rams last year, 34-30. And we know it was 13-3. But the year before I picked 51 total points and it was 74. And the year before I had NE over Atlanta 38-27, which ended up 34-28. So there is that.
And I picked against San Fran last week. Considered doing the same the week before against Minnesota, when I foolishly started believing in Kirk Cousins. In the end, I took SF, but only by 4, when they demolished the Vikings in the actual game.
So what the hell do I know?
I think Andy Reid finally gets over the hump here. KC gets the lead early and doesn’t let SF use its ground game to run the clock. Jimmy G has to throw a lot and while he will have success, it won’t be enough.
Unless Reid has clock management issues yet again…then all bets are off…
Kansas City 38, San Francisco 34.
Week (against the spread): 1-1
Week (straight up): 1-1
Lock Of The Week (season, ATS): 10-7
Season (against the spread): 135-131
Season (straight up): 170-96
Vegas got killed last week. Will it happen again? I wouldn’t bet on it…
Buffalo at New York Jets (-7.5)
I can’t imagine anyone cares about this game. The Bills can’t score and the Jets are at home. Josh McCown may be a better QB right now than Sam Darnold. Oh yeah, and…Nathan Peterman. Everything probably points to the Jets this week. But let’s remember, the Jets stink still too.
New York Jets 7, Buffalo 3.
Detroit at Chicago (-6.5)
The spread seems a little high for a divisional tilt. Chicago isn’t exactly proven either. But again…
Chicago 27, Detroit 20.
Washington at Tampa Bay (-2.5)
Tampa can score some points. But they give up a ton as well. The ‘Skins don’t score a ton, but they don’t give up a ton either. Which one gives?
Washington 31, Tampa Bay 24.
Arizona at Kansas City (-16.5)
Both of Cardinals’ wins are against the 2-7 49ers. Unfortunately, they play the 8-1 Chiefs this week.
Kansas City 38, Arizona 13.
New England (-7.5) at Tennessee
Big Monday night win for the Titans. But it was against Dallas. I love Mike Vrabel, but not this week. Does Tom Brady victimize Malcolm Butler this week? Perhaps. Butler has given up some big plays this year. The Pats are also coming off a big win against the Packers, will there be a letdown this week, right before their bye? It’s possible but unlikely. We think they finish strong here. And we don’t believe the Titans are that good. Dion Lewis may be able to run on the Pats. But who cares if they run the ball all game?
New England 27, Tennessee 17.
New Orleans (-4.5) at Cincinnati
The Saints outlasted the Rams last week. Great offensive battle. Saints are 4-0 on the road, believe it or not. The Bengals are the Bengals. And it appears A.J. Green won’t play. All signs point to the Saints. But…maybe a let down here. Just a gut feeling.
Cincinnati 33, New Orleans 30.
Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-3.5)
Jacksonville 31, Indianapolis 17.
Miami at Green Bay (-9.5)
Some say Aaron Rodgers kind of mailed it in late last week in the Packers game against the Patriots. That he has no confidence in his team and/or coaches. That may be a little strong. Either way, you know how you fix that? A home game against the Dolphins.
Green Bay 37, Miami 18.
Atlanta (-4.5) at Cleveland
The Falcons have been on a little bit of a roll. The Browns have not.
Atlanta 41, Cleveland 27.
Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5) at Oakland
We said last week, the Raiders have quit. Well, I think Jon Gruden may have anyway. Seemingly aiming for the worst record in the league, having three first round picks next year and already saying that “there are a ton of players that want to play for the Raiders in 2019”. I think we know where this is headed.
Los Angeles Chargers 45, Oakland 16.
Seattle at Los Angeles Rams (-10.5)
The Rams finally lost last week. Do they rebound this week? Probably. Another gut feeling that the Seahawks keep it close though…even on the road.
Los Angeles Rams 37, Seattle 31.
Dallas at Philadelphia (-6.5)
The Cowboys had a clunker just 6 days before this game will be played. The Eagles are coming off a bye. Seems like an easy one here.
Philadelphia 30, Dallas 17.
New York Giants at San Francisco (-3.5)
This is the Monday Nighter this week?! Sigh…
San Francisco 23, New York Giants 17.
Week (against the spread): 1-0
Week (straight up): 1-0
Season (against the spread): 72-63
Season (straight up): 88-47