…In Bill We Trust? Here we go again…
Yeah, I know it has been a week since the New England Patriot’s draft has concluded. Has it taken me this long to process the results? Nope. It would appear I feel the same way as most of you. Has it taken me this long because I was waiting to see who the Pats would bring on as undrafted free agents? A little bit, but not really. I don’t believe they have still announced who they are. But I see some lists…we will get to them later.
Since I wrote some pre-draft stuff, I feel the need to comment on what actually transpired. Though I think we may all know how this will go. Since what transpired obviously did not match up with what I kind of hoped they would do.
None of us should be surprised at how many trades Bill Belichick made during the draft. This should be the least surprising occurrence of the three days. The conspiracy theory of Bill making a ton of trades involving the pick received in the Jimmy Garoppolo trade, so that it would be hard to track what return they actually received? I can buy into that…a little bit anyway. I wouldn’t rule that scenario completely out. Was it the main focus? I don’t believe so. But don’t tell me Bill didn’t have something like that in mind.
The most surprising thing to me was that Bill did not auction off the #31 pick overall to the highest bidder. Teams are ALWAYS looking to move back into the first round and can offer enticing packages to get back into the end of it. Especially because the Pats already had used a pick at #23. Especially nowadays that the second round starts a day later, for whatever reason. Possibly because the teams get an extra year of team control for a first-round pick. In any event, Bill usually loves these sort of deals, where he could have picked up like 2 or 3 more picks for that one.
To top off my surprise, after not trading the pick, they selected a running back with it. Holy Jesus…a f’n RUNNING BACK!! This RB part has been talked about ad nauseam this week locally…as well it should be. Count me among the masses of the confused.
This offense does not need to spend major assets on the running back position. It just doesn’t. Think of all the guys they have picked up over the years for next to nothing. You know the names: LeGarrette Blount, Dion Lewis, Antowain Smith, Sammy Morris, Benjarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead for starters and also Steven Jackson and Fred Taylor…ok, forget the last two. Then using no more than mid-round picks on guys like James White, Shane Vereen, Stevan Ridley and the like. And let’s not forget the last time that the Pats used a first round pick on a runner…the immortal Laurence Maroney! How’d that work out?
Sigh…Sony Michel may be a good running back. You just didn’t need to use that pick on him. I did watch most of the NCAA football “Final Four” last year. And I will admit, Michel looked pretty damn good. But I honestly think that the team could have gotten away with the combination of White, Rex Burkhead, Mike Gillislee and Jeremy Hill this coming season. And perhaps another veteran plucked off the wire later in the year, or a kid from the practice squad.
I would have bet my house that Bill would have traded that pick down for more picks. I would have bet my neighborhood that he wouldn’t have selected a running back with that pick once he kept it. Glad I didn’t do either.
Can’t say I am enamored with the selection at #23 either. Isaiah Wynn may very well be a good player too. But although he played tackle in college and the Patriots announced him as such, most of the “experts” think he will be a guard in the pros. Not to mention they already have 35 offensive linemen on the roster. Including grabbing the humongous Trent Brown from the Niners seemingly on the cheap. What are they going to do with all of these guys? Yeah, half of them are fringe players. But looking at the list, they won’t be able to even keep all of the half-decent ones.
Then in the second round…a “slot corner” in Duke Dawson. Maybe he is a good player too. But…
I was clear that I wanted defense, defense, defense and more defense…just like everyone else. I would have accepted taking a quarterback high if the Patriots had truly identified “the future”. The Pats had 5 of the first 95 picks. Seemed like a good chance to get some good defensive talent in tow. Instead, they only took three guys…the offensive lineman that may not have a set position, the running back that seems extraneous and a backup corner.
Their next pick was in the fifth round, Ja’whaun Bentley. A linebacker!! But one whose speed may not match up in the pros. Oops. Don’t we already have Elandon Roberts? Seems like the same guy. Ummmmm…speed at linebacker is kind of one big thing the team needs. Like…a BIG thing.
Five more picks in the sixth and seventh round…not sure we even need to talk about them. Mel Kiper loves the 6th round receiver/punt returner…yay. Just cuz Julian Edelman worked out in the 7th round, doesn’t mean this guy will. LB, QB, TE, DB the other picks…yaaaaaawn.
You may ask, “Well, what do the undrafted free agent pickups look like? A handful always seem to make the team, right?” Again, no signings appear to have been announced. But I’ve seen one list of 10 dudes. We already know that I have no idea who these lower rated guys are. But my only real comment is that list includes not one, but TWO punters. And still no kickers. As a result, I can’t get all fired up about any of these guys.
So there you go. I’m in the same boat as the masses. Not excited at the draft haul. But yet again, we are all probably wrong. Everything always seems to work out, no matter how bad it looks. There will be more moves. There is no way the team can keep all of their guys at various positions. Maybe they can get draft picks for some of the guys they choose to move on from. Maybe there will be bigger deals on the horizon. Of course no one really ever knows what Bill is thinking.
We are in a period of tremendous future uncertainty here folks. We all know the end is near for Tom Brady, Bill Belichick and it certainly seems like Rob Gronkowski. Robert Kraft will most certainly pass the team along to his son Jonathan soon. But dig a little deeper. Of the 84 roster players listed on Spotrac.com, only 13 of them are signed in 2020 and beyond. Take away the 9 draftees, that is 13 of 75 that are locked up long-term. Seems light. Sure, there could be extensions coming…especially perhaps for guys like Malcom Brown and Danny Shelton, who just had their fifth-year options from their rookie contracts declined, making them unrestricted free agents after this year.
There is no question that this team will be markedly different over the next couple of years. HOW different is what scares me…
Continuing on…defense AND specialists, that is. Can’t forget how important the special teamers are to the Patriot organization!!
And, in case you forgot, there’s this: For the record, we will say where the player came from if they are an addition and where they went if they jumped ship. We will also note if they finished last season on the Patriots injured list (IR) or on the Patriot practice squad (PS).
Holdovers: Keionta Davis (IR), Trey Flowers, Eric Lee, Derek Rivers (IR), Deatrich Wise
Arrivals: Adrian Clayborn (Atlanta)
In limbo: None
Comments: Seems a little bizarre we start this section with someone named Keionta Davis, eh? The danger of going in alphabetical order I suppose. Anyway, it would seem that even with the addition of Clayborn, the expected return of Rivers and the hope of growth from Year One to Year Two for Wise, this group still may not be saved. Lee had spurts at the end of last season. But there’s also probably a good reason he spent the year on the Buffalo Bills practice squad.
In addition to not really knowing if Rivers can actually play, or whether Wise will get better, I cannot say I am too bullish on the Clayborn move. I mean, it appears this won’t cost the team much, per usual. But on the surface, it’s fair to question how a player can get 6 sacks in one game and then 3.5 total in the other 15. Maybe he didn’t play all 16, but I’m not even going to look it up. You get the point. Clayborn certainly cannot hurt. But there still needs to be an infusion of talent here this offseason. And I’m not sure where they are going to get it. The free agent list I am looking at is…weak. The draft? Sure, but any studs here will be long gone by the time the Pats even pick in the first round.
Let’s hope they figure out something here as well. Oh, and Flowers is a free agent after this season. He may not necessarily be a stud, but he is the best they have. May want to figure something out with him too, while they are at it.
Holdovers: Malcom Brown, Adam Butler, Lawrence Guy, Vincent Valentine (IR)
Arrivals: Danny Shelton (Cleveland)
Departures: Alan Branch (released)
In limbo: Ricky Jean Francois
Comments: There’s a lot of NFL bodies here now, but how good really are they? Shelton apparently can play the run, but not the pass. I’m still not sure what to make of Brown, and he’s been around a few years now. I’m not exactly sure what Guy did last year, after signing that fat free agent contract last year. Butler still likely remains a project and we probably can say the same thing about Valentine, to be honest.
Branch would help…well, the 2016 Branch and not the one that loitered around last year. I suppose that’s the risk you take with guys like that though. Francois really isn’t in limbo, as he said he wasn’t re-signing with the Pats. I think he was babbling about going to a team with a better scheme fit like Chris Long did after the 2016 season. Francois isn’t even as good as Long, so I am not sure what he was talking about. He was lucky to have a job. He was only here because Branch didn’t feel like playing. Whatever…best of luck Ricky Jean.
Here’s hoping they do some more work here too. But not as much as the place that needs the most work…
Holdovers: Dont’a Hightower (IR), Harvey Langi (IR), Elandon Roberts, Kyle Van Noy
Departures: Shea McClellin (IR-released), Trevor Reilly (PS-not re-signed)
In limbo: Marquis Flowers, James Harrison
Comments: If only Hightower could ever stay healthy, this group would…still suck badly. Holy crap. I haven’t seen a worse collection of stiffs at one position…maybe ever. Ok, that’s hyperbole. I’m sure if I just analyzed the position groups of the Cleveland Browns over the last two years I would find worse. But the message is clear: This is the area of greatest need.
The team loves Van Noy and that’s really kind of inexplicable. Roberts is terrible and everyone else listed may be worse than terrible. I’m not sure what the Patriots’ plan is here. This should have been the first thing addressed. And they haven’t added anyone. The draft? Sure. But again, picking late in each round and having several needs…how many impact players can they get from there?
I don’t know if Preston Brown made a gazillion tackles for the Bills over the years because there were simply too many players running free past their defensive line. But that would have seemed to have been a guy to target. Especially after he publicly said he would love to come here like some other former Bills (Hogan, Gilmore, Gillislee). And the fact that he signed with the Bengals for a mere 4 million for 1 year. 25 years old too. I’m not sure why the Pats didn’t sniff him out a bit and why he signed for next to nothing. I guess I am missing something, but on the surface, I don’t understand the lack of interest. No one is really talking about it locally, so maybe it’s just me.
But the fact remains that they need several capable bodies here. And there is no way Brown would have hurt. At this point, can adding anyone hurt?
Holdovers: Stephon Gilmore, Cyrus Jones (IR), Jonathan Jones (IR), Ryan Lewis (PS), Eric Rowe, Jomal Wiltz (PS)
Arrivals: Jason McCourty (Cleveland)
Departures: Johnson Bademosi (Houston), Malcolm Butler (Tennessee)
In limbo: None
Comments: Believe it or not, the Pats may be all set here. Gilmore came on later in the year. McCourty may not be an All-Pro, or even technically as good as Butler, but he should be solid, by all accounts. I can probably live with Rowe and Jonathan Jones as backups. And as much as I hate to say it, let’s give Cyrus one more chance. I’m not expecting much, but you never know. Lewis has been getting some love here as well, but I have no idea about him. Adding a body here, of course, would not hurt. But the needs are more pressing elsewhere.
Holdovers: Patrick Chung, Duron Harmon, David Jones (PS), Devin McCourty, Jordan Richards, Damarius Travis (PS)
In limbo: None
Comments: Same here as the cornerbacks I would say. Devin struggled some and likely isn’t worth the money he gets paid. But you could do a lot worse than the trio of him, Chung and Harmon. I would be very disappointed to see Richards on the team next year. He is flat-out awful. But we are splitting hairs if we are complaining about the 4th safety.
Holdovers: Ryan Allen (P), Brandon Bolden (re-signed), Joe Cardona (LS), Nate Ebner (ST, re-signed), Stephen Gostkowski (K), Nicholas Grigsby (ST), Geneo Grissom (ST), Brandon King (ST, re-signed), Matthew Slater (ST, re-signed)
In limbo: None
My favorite group! Once again, the Pats carry more special-teams only guys than anyone else. This HAS to be a fact, right? Slater apparently re-signed as I write this and with the team bringing back Ebner, Bolden and King, well, the gang’s all here! Cardona had a bad snap and Allen a worse hold in the Super Bowl, but I cannot complain too much about those two otherwise.
The key question here is: Is this the year they bring in competition for Gostkowski? One year left on his deal, with a 5 mil cap hit, which I think is all guaranteed. But although he seemed to get back on track last year during the regular season, his playoff performance left a lot to be desired…again. Even with the aforementioned bad snap, he still should have hit that 26-yarder…blindfolded. And another stray extra point. I don’t know, maybe make him fight for his job this training camp?
It won’t happen, but we can hope, right? I suppose that since kickers generally are all of a sudden pretty average in the NFL, especially since they moved the extra point back, they may as well hang on to Gostkowski. But how about even attempting an upgrade?
That pretty much sums everything up. I’m not anticipating many more moves before the draft. We can all be somewhat disappointed at that. But looking at the free agent list, there does appear to be plenty of swill out there, so how many more of those guys can really help? Guess we gotta hope the draft class is strong…
As promised (threatened?), we will provide a snapshot of the New England Patriots roster as it stands now. Of course, there will be plenty of informative comments following each position group. Define the word “informative” as you may, but I’ll feel good about them anyway.
For the record, we will say where the player came from if they are an addition and where they went if they jumped ship. We will also note if they finished last season on the Patriots injured list (IR) or on the Patriot practice squad (PS). Just cuz I want to be informative, as I said…yup…
Enough of the nonsense, let’s get to it:
Holdovers: Tom Brady, Brian Hoyer
In limbo: None
Comments: Everyone knows that Brady will be 41, Jimmy Football was traded for a bag of footballs and a tackling sled and that Hoyer stinks. Not to mention that Jacoby Brissett was also traded last year for probably something less than Garoppolo. Even though I keep hearing from some talking heads recently that Phillip Dorsett actually had a pretty good year “…when he played…he was actually open a lot, Brady either didn’t see him or just didn’t throw it to him…” Ok, if you say so. In any event…an obvious need at some point…and soon.
I’d take a QB fairly high in the draft. Someone who the team thinks has potential to be that proverbial “next guy”. Not taking one just to take one. Brady (and his wife) were doing some whining on his little Facebook thing and some people took that to maybe mean he doesn’t plan on playing until he’s 125 like he has always said. I don’t buy it. It’ll all work out and he will be around for a while. If they draft a dude now, they will have time to groom him. It’s supposed to be a deep quarterback draft, but what do I know?
And no, I would pass on signing Matt Cassel or Matt Moore or any other Matt that is a veteran stiff…in case you were wondering.
Bottom line? Still in pretty good shape here, wouldn’t you say?
Holdovers: Rex Burkhead (re-signed), James Develin (FB), Mike Gillislee, James White
Arrivals: Jeremy Hill (Cincinnati)
Departures: Dion Lewis (Tennessee)
In limbo: None
Comments: We talked enough about Lewis yesterday. Hill has regressed from his fantastic rookie year in 2014 for the Bengals. But from what I understand, the Pats are on the hook for very little if he doesn’t pan out. I feel like Gillislee deserves another shot and I want to see more Rex. I feel ok with this collection…especially in this offense…and especially if they all keep Brandon Bolden off of the field. Moving on…
Holdovers: Kenny Britt, Brandin Cooks, Phillip Dorsett, Julian Edelman (IR), Chris Hogan, Cody Hollister (PS), Riley McCarron (PS), Malcolm Mitchell (IR)
Arrivals: Cordarrelle Patterson (Oakland)
Departures: Danny Amendola (Miami), Bernard Reedy (released)
In limbo: None
Comments: I’m not going to deny they will miss Amendola to some degree, especially when the chips are down. But again, we went through all that yesterday. I will also add that I am not sure that throwing multiple mediocre bodies at the end of the depth chart will help that cause. But that’s me.
If the depth chart shows Cooks, Edelman, Hogan and Mitchell, assuming good health of course (a BIG assumption), do we really need Britt, Dorsett or Patterson? Plus, McCarron has been getting a lot of love recently. How many receivers can you carry? What exactly are the first three bringing you anyway…especially if they are the 5th receiver on the depth chart?
That’s just it I suppose…depth. Who knows where Edelman and Mitchell will be health-wise going forward? I know, there appears to be little risk with the aforementioned three veterans, financially or otherwise. And I know, Patterson is a dynamic kick returner. Though I will agree with the talk radio chatter on Monday where it was pointed out that kick returns are a very small part of the game these days.
I have no inside info on the situation. But I have a feeling there may be another shoe to drop here before camp opens. There has been some smoke revolving around Cooks’ status for a couple of weeks now. Cooks was up and down last year and my feeling is that he will improve in his second year in the system. And none of those three vets mentioned appear to have the ability of Cooks. But I suppose you never know…
Holdovers: Dwayne Allen, Rob Gronkowski (we think?), Jacob Hollister, Will Tye (PS)
Departures: Martellus Bennett (IR, released)
In limbo: None
Comments: I do believe we have to take Gronks’ retirement “threats” seriously. Despite being a monster, he has taken quite a beating over his NFL career. And despite all the back surgeries, there is no doubt that the back will always hang over his head at least a little. I’m betting that throwing a little money at him will get him back into the fold mentally though. Isn’t that always the case?
Speaking of money, I am absolutely stunned that Allen is still here. 5 mil against the cap next season. Was he that good a blocker? Is he just hanging around in case Gronk does retire? I don’t see it. That’s money better spent elsewhere. I know Hollister and Tye aren’t appealing backup options if Allen departs. But there has to be someone else out there that is.
Let’s make Gronk happy and find a young tight end somewhere. Not an extremely pressing area of need (unless Gronk walks of course), but definitely a position to keep an eye on.
Holdovers: David Andrews (C), Marcus Cannon (T), Cole Croston (T), James Ferentz (C, PS), Antonio Garcia (T, IR), Andrew Jelks (T, IR), Ted Karras (G/C), Jason King (G, PS), Shaq Mason (G), Joe Thuney (G)
Arrivals: Matt Tobin (T) (Seattle)
Departures: Nate Solder (T) (New York Giants)
In limbo: Cameron Fleming (T), LaAdrian Waddle (T)
Comments: We ranted on Solder yesterday and I’m done talking about it. The other four members of the line return. It’s a solid, if unspectacular, group. So obviously the focus is on finding a new left tackle. And once again, I am not going to get worked up about it. Dante Scarnecchia and the team should be able to figure it out. Maybe it’s one of these guys above. Maybe it’s a draft pick. Maybe it’s someone released over the summer or early in camp. Who knows? Maybe I am being naive (or just plain stupid), but I am simply not concerned about it.
People are also seemingly terrified of losing Waddle and/or Fleming. Seriously? These guys were released in recent years. Now they are all of a sudden irreplaceable? Mystifying.
These guys are going to be alright next season without Solder. I feel like that isn’t even going out on much of a limb, to be honest…
Next: The Defense.