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Week Twelve…

Off to a good start this week, let’s keep it going:

Seattle at Carolina (-3.5) 

If I was “Riverboat Ron”, I wouldn’t have gone for two last week.  Then again, maybe he figured that since the NFC appears to be eminently mediocre other than the Saints and Rams, the Panthers will make the playoffs as long as they go 8-0 at home.  So it really didn’t matter what they did against the Lions regardless.

Carolina 24, Seattle 20.

New York Giants at Philadelphia (-6.5)

The Eagles shouldn’t be favored by six and a half over anyone right now.

Philadelphia 20, New York Giants 17.

Oakland at Baltimore (-10.5)  

Oakland won last week…yippee!!  Oh yeah, it was against the Cards.  Ok.  Lamar Jackson is apparently getting another start this week for the Ravens.  All things being equal, this spread would seem a little high.  We should go Raiders here.  But we are not.

Baltimore 24, Oakland 13.

New England (-9.5) at New York Jets 

Tom Brady apparently has a knee injury now.  Doesn’t matter this week.

New England 38, New York Jets 24.

Miami at Indianapolis (-9.5) 

Indy is on a roll, no question.  I don’t think the Dolphins are all that great.  But they need a win and are coming off a bye, so we feel like the game is close at the very least.

Indianapolis 30, Miami 23.

Cleveland at Cincinnati (-3.5)

Hue Jackson now working for the Bengals may actually be a good thing for the Browns, in more ways than one.

Cleveland 27, Cincinnati 24.

San Francisco at Tampa Bay (-3.5) 

FITZMAGIC!!  Oops…back on the bench, where he belongs.

Tampa Bay 31, San Francisco 24.

Jacksonville (-3.5) at Buffalo

I’d personally love it if these fraudulent Jaguars lost to the Bills.  But I can’t see how it happens.

Jacksonville 27, Buffalo 11.

Arizona at Los Angeles Chargers (-12.5)

The Chargers are coming off a tough loss to the Broncos and the Cardinals couldn’t even beat a wretched Raider team at home.  Goodnight.

Los Angeles Chargers 45, Arizona 10.

Pittsburgh (-3.5) at Denver

A nice divisional win for the Broncos last week.  The Steelers escaped with a win against the Jags.  Denver has been in most of their games this year and is a tough place to play.  Gut feeling on this one.

Denver 31, Pittsburgh 27. 

Green Bay at Minnesota (-3.5) 

Crucial divisional game for both these teams, as the Bears are starting to pull away in the division and the wild card race is completely muddled as we head into December.  Both teams have their flaws, no question.  The first meeting ended in a tie in Week 2.  I am not betting on that happening again.  Another thing to ponder:  The Packers can’t go winless on the road this year, can they?  Seems like too much talent to “accomplish” that.  The Pack needs it more here too.

Green Bay 28, Minnesota 27.

Tennessee at Houston (-6.5)  

Spread seems a little high for this divisional tilt.  It appears Marcus Mariota will play, so no one has to suffer through Blaine Gabbert.  That all being said, I just don’t think the Titans are all that good.

Houston 23, Tennessee 14.  

Week (against the spread):  2-1

Week (straight up):  2-1

Season (against the spread):  87-77

Season (straight up):  102-62

Week Ten…

Vegas got killed last week.  Will it happen again?  I wouldn’t bet on it…

Buffalo at New York Jets (-7.5) 

I can’t imagine anyone cares about this game.  The Bills can’t score and the Jets are at home.  Josh McCown may be a better QB right now than Sam Darnold.  Oh yeah, and…Nathan Peterman.  Everything probably points to the Jets this week.  But let’s remember, the Jets stink still too.

New York Jets 7, Buffalo 3.

Detroit at Chicago (-6.5)

The spread seems a little high for a divisional tilt.  Chicago isn’t exactly proven either.  But again…

Chicago 27, Detroit 20.

Washington at Tampa Bay (-2.5)  

Tampa can score some points.  But they give up a ton as well.  The ‘Skins don’t score a ton, but they don’t give up a ton either.  Which one gives?

Washington 31, Tampa Bay 24.

Arizona at Kansas City (-16.5) 

Both of Cardinals’ wins are against the 2-7 49ers.  Unfortunately, they play the 8-1 Chiefs this week.

Kansas City 38, Arizona 13.

New England (-7.5) at Tennessee

Big Monday night win for the Titans.  But it was against Dallas.  I love Mike Vrabel, but not this week.  Does Tom Brady victimize Malcolm Butler this week?  Perhaps.  Butler has given up some big plays this year.  The Pats are also coming off a big win against the Packers, will there be a letdown this week, right before their bye?  It’s possible but unlikely.  We think they finish strong here.  And we don’t believe the Titans are that good.  Dion Lewis may be able to run on the Pats.  But who cares if they run the ball all game?

New England 27, Tennessee 17.

New Orleans (-4.5) at Cincinnati

The Saints outlasted the Rams last week.  Great offensive battle.  Saints are 4-0 on the road, believe it or not.  The Bengals are the Bengals.  And it appears A.J. Green won’t play.  All signs point to the Saints.  But…maybe a let down here.  Just a gut feeling.

Cincinnati 33, New Orleans 30.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-3.5) 

Did the Jaguars figure anything out during their bye week?  Didn’t they have to?

Jacksonville 31, Indianapolis 17.

Miami at Green Bay (-9.5)

Some say Aaron Rodgers kind of mailed it in late last week in the Packers game against the Patriots.  That he has no confidence in his team and/or coaches.  That may be a little strong.  Either way, you know how you fix that?  A home game against the Dolphins.

Green Bay 37, Miami 18.

Atlanta (-4.5) at Cleveland

The Falcons have been on a little bit of a roll.  The Browns have not.

Atlanta 41, Cleveland 27.

Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5) at Oakland

We said last week, the Raiders have quit.  Well, I think Jon Gruden may have anyway.  Seemingly aiming for the worst record in the league, having three first round picks next year and already saying that “there are a ton of players that want to play for the Raiders in 2019”.  I think we know where this is headed.

Los Angeles Chargers 45, Oakland 16.  

Seattle at Los Angeles Rams (-10.5) 

The Rams finally lost last week.  Do they rebound this week?  Probably.  Another gut feeling that the Seahawks keep it close though…even on the road.

Los Angeles Rams 37, Seattle 31.

Dallas at Philadelphia (-6.5)  

The Cowboys had a clunker just 6 days before this game will be played.  The Eagles are coming off a bye.  Seems like an easy one here.

Philadelphia 30, Dallas 17.

New York Giants at San Francisco (-3.5)  

This is the Monday Nighter this week?!  Sigh…

San Francisco 23, New York Giants 17.

Week (against the spread):  1-0

Week (straight up):  1-0

Season (against the spread):  72-63

Season (straight up):  88-47

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