It’s that time again. Except, the Blowhard is actually going to make his picks BEFORE the real game, as opposed to previous years. What a novel idea, eh? Anyway, 32 players are selected. 20 are supposed to be position players and 12 are supposed to be pitchers. I’ll stray from that a bit, as we always do here. 19 position players and 13 pitchers for the AL this year, simply because I could not leave one of the pitchers off, while I could have left several positional guys off. Plus, you already know we cheat on positions themselves. More of that to come as well. One rule we do not cheat on? Each team is represented. Again, I don’t necessarily love this rule, but for all those spots, I suppose every team should have SOMEONE there. (S) for the starter. Comments below each position.
C: Wilson Ramos, TB (S)
Wretched. There is literally only one catcher worth All-Star consideration in the entire league. All-Star mainstay Salvador Perez is hitting .213. Everyone’s wunderkind, Gary Sanchez, is hitting .190 and now hurt. I could go on. But why? Someone like Yan Gomes (.247, 10 homers), may well get the backup spot in real life. Or you can go with designated hitter Evan Gattis (.257, 18 homers, 62 RBI). And they may well do it. I was tempted to do it myself since we already went through how we cheat on positions. But Gattis has caught a grand total of FOUR innings this year. So even I cannot do it here. Since the position has been so poor, and we aren’t playing a real game, I’m sticking with just one catcher here.
1B: Jose Abreu, CWS (S)
Yup, just one guy here too. Abreu is the only White Sox remotely qualified for selection as well, so this is pretty obvious. No backups? Nope. Anyone can play first base. And this position is remarkably thin in the league as well. But maybe not “remarkably thin this year”, perhaps? Look back at the selections the Blowhard made at 1B last year: Justin Smoak, Logan Morrison, Yonder Alonso and Abreu. Abreu has been legit for years. But those other three dudes predictably came crashing back to earth this season. Miggy Cabrera is well into the back nine and hurt again anyway. The person who may well be the backup this year in the real game…and I gave at least slight consideration to? Mitch Moreland. MITCH MORELAND!! But alas, I couldn’t pull the trigger on that one.
2B: Jose Altuve, Hou (S), Jed Lowrie Oak, Gleybar Torres, NYY
I gave serious consideration to starting Lowrie here. He’s having a hell of a year. 15 homers and 61 RBI? Wow. Good for him though. But couldn’t put him over Altuve in the end. Gleybar’s real-life chances may be somewhat torpedoed by his recent hip injury. But he deserves to be on my team. Yankee or no Yankee.
3B: Jose Ramirez, Cle (S), Yangervis Solarte, Tor, Alex Bregman, Hou, Mike Moustakas, KC
Ramirez is putting up sick numbers again, so that was easy. Solarte is far and away the Blue Jays rep. His numbers are decent enough. Bregman has been pretty hot and won Player of the Month in June. That helped grease the skids to get him on this roster. Plus…he’s pretty good anyway. Moose? Welp, the Royals traded away their actual representative in Kelvin Herrera. So it was between Moose, Whit Merrifield (?) and some pitcher named Keller that was in middle relief most of the year. Middle reliever that isn’t good enough to close and isn’t (wasn’t) good enough to start on a team that is almost 40 games under .500 already? Nope. Moose can also backup at first base on this team since teams now want him as a 1B and he has been playing there recently in the majors. Not to mention…the Blowhard actually met Moose last year at a game at Fenway. He graciously shook my hand when he could have just as easily punched me in the face. That alone is reason enough to put him on this team.
SS: Manny Machado, Bal (S), Francisco Lindor, Cle
You can start either one, doesn’t matter to me. Lindor has scored 36 more runs than Machado…THIRTY-SIX! Of course, the Orioles are horrific, so that doesn’t help Manny. But both are clear-cut here. Jean Segura is probably the last guy off my All-Star roster so he may have a case too. Carlos Correa isn’t having too great a year, but he, along with Andrelton Simmons, Eduardo Escobar and…even Xander Bogaerts…probably warrant bench consideration for the real game. But not quite for me.
OF: Mike Trout, LAA (S), Aaron Judge, NYY (S), Mookie Betts, Bos (S), Nick Castellanos, Det, Eddie Rosario, Min, Nomar Mazara, Tex, Mitch Haniger, Sea
Didn’t have to think too hard about the starters. They are so obvious, not sure I need to say anything really. Castellanos was Detroit’s clear rep and we picked Rosario over the SS Escobar to represent the Twins. I suppose one could have gone with Shin-Soo Choo as the Ranger rep. But since Choo DH’s two-thirds of the time, I chose Mazara. Despite Choo’s clear advantage in OPS. Haniger? Segura? Nelson Cruz? Could’ve gone with either of these three for my last spot. I chose Haniger. Whatever. Andrew Benintendi? Close. Next year kid.
DH: J.D. Martinez, Bos (S)
As usual, 1 DH is enough. Martinez has put up some huge numbers this season. Can’t ignore those. Plus, he plays some outfield. Not well, mind you. But he still is sent out there sometimes. Good enough for me. Already teased above that Cruz is not on my team. He’s having his usual good year. But hasn’t played an inning in the field. Gattis has those 4 innings at catcher, nothing else. Mike…oops, Giancarlo…Stanton had that horrible start and has since come on. But everyone else besides J.D. really didn’t move the needle for me enough this season. Especially when they are all primarily designated hitters.
P: Luis Severino, NYY (S), Justin Verlander, Hou, Gerrit Cole, Hou, Blake Snell, TB, Corey Kluber, Cle, Chris Sale, Bos, Charlie Morton, Hou, James Paxton, Sea, Trevor Bauer, Cle, Craig Kimbrel, Bos, Aroldis Chapman, NYY, Blake Treinen, Oak, Edwin Diaz, Sea
I will probably cut and paste this preamble every year, in case there are any new readers that may give a crap. I know, fat chance. Anyway, here it is: As I’ve explained in the past, my inclination is to take way more starting pitchers than closers and certainly middle relievers. Great starters are infinitely more important to their team and that is why they get the big bucks, as they say. Closers historically get hot for a year or three, but unless they are Mariano Rivera or Trevor Hoffman, they inevitably fail and fall back into middle relief or the minors or out of baseball. Very few of the elite ones that can do it for 10 years plus. Middle relievers are usually failed starters AND closers. So even though they can be dominant, it usually doesn’t last. And if it does, they will go back to another key role.
4 closers this year for me though. Simply couldn’t find a reason to leave any of them off, they have all been THAT good this year. If I had to take one off, it would probably be Kimbrel. Although he has been good this year, he hasn’t been as lights out as last year. Chapman, Treinen and Diaz have been dominant this season. Can’t ignore this.
All 9 starters are no-brainers to me as well. Don’t know how any of them do not make the real squad. I’ve heard some chatter about Morton being the odd man out. 11-2, 2.83, 141 K’s in 108 innings. How can you leave him off? 3 Houston starters should make it, deal with it. And Lance McCullers could have been a fourth in less competitive years.
Came down to Severino or Verlander to start. Could even make a case for Sale based on the totality of the numbers. I imagine Severino’s 14 wins will get him the real start. No complaints here on that.
Shohei Ohtani as a dual weapon in this game? Not this year due to injury. But don’t rule it out going forward.
Next: The 2018 National League All-Stars…
…so now that the World Series has concluded, Major League Baseball is about ready to announce their award winners. The Gold Glove awards (yaaaaaaawn) were announced last night. The Blowhard of course feels like he should add his two cents, starting with the American League…and remember, the postseason does not count:
Most Valuable Player:
- Aaron Judge, NY Yankees
- Jose Altuve, Houston
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland
- Carlos Correa, Houston
- Mike Trout, LA Angels
- Nelson Cruz, Seattle
- Brian Dozier, Minnesota
- George Springer, Houston
- Josh Donaldson, Toronto
- Corey Kluber, Cleveland
Again, a 10 person ballot, so we did what we needed to do here. Turns out MLB had the same top 3, though it appears there are really only two candidates in Judge and Altuve. Spots 3 through even 20, I suppose you could have all kinds of different orders. Since Ramirez had the same OPS as Altuve and was on the best team in the league, I went with him third.
Anyway, back to the top two candidates. It appears that Altuve may have a leg up on the real ballot, based on what is being talked about nationwide. And sure, he was consistent all year long, while Judge was miserable in August and not so good in July either. Altuve hit 62 points higher. And Judge struck out 124 more times. But if you take a deeper dive, Judge’s OPS was 92 points higher, he scored 16 more runs (with Altuve being probably in a better overall lineup), walked a ton more and of course…the 52 homers. For those of you who believe in sabermetrics and the WAR stat, Judge was on top 8.8 to 7.9.
You probably can’t go wrong either way. But what sealed it for me? Judge hit .311, with 15 homers, 32 RBI’s and a 1.352 OPS is September as the Yanks made their playoff push. I know, he may have been hitting some of those bombs against minor league callups. But one also probably should consider the pressure of a playoff race as a factor as well. Along with the fact that everyone else is hitting off the same bums too. Anyway…
As for the rest…the true MVP may well have been Correa if he hadn’t missed over 50 games. Trout obviously still stakes a real claim to being the best player in baseball. So despite Mikey missing almost 50 games himself, he’s still gotta be there. Another member of the “about 50 games missed” club is Donaldson. His team sucked after having high expectations at the start of the season. But his numbers were sick in the games he did play. So I found a place for him.
I felt that someone from that inexplicable Twin playoff team had to be in the Top Ten…so that’s why Dozier is here. And he won a Gold Glove too…YAAAAY! Cruz and Springer…I suppose Francisco Lindor, Gary Sanchez, Jose Abreu, Justin Upton, Jonathan Schoop, Edwin Encarnacion or whoever else could have filled those spots. Lastly, as I’ve said in the past, I don’t love including pitchers in the MVP race. Once every 5 days for a starter and once every 3 days or so for a closer aren’t the same as playing every single day. But for one, I included 3 guys that missed about a third of the season here. And for two, if a pitcher’s performance deserves consideration, then it deserves consideration. Kluber’s 5-0, 0.84 in September helped him to deserve consideration.
- Corey Kluber, Cleveland
- Chris Sale, Boston
- Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland
- Luis Severino, NY Yankees
- Craig Kimbrel, Boston
This race seems pretty cut and dried to me. As opposed to last year where Kluber, Rick Porcello or Justin Verlander were pretty tight and any one of them could have won. Porcello did and boy do the voters probably feel foolish about that now. Maybe not, since each year is different. But we all know Porcello was horrific this year. Kind of makes me personally want to take the award away from him last year.
As for this year, Sale had his 300 strikeouts and all and had probably had a healthy lead in this race as the summer wore on. But Kluber’s stretch run blew him past Sale to take the Cy. Severino will be third in the real world, as he has already been announced as the third finalist. I’m going with Carrasco though, maybe for the sole reason that I hate the Yankees, I don’t know. Kimbrel was pretty dominant this year, so even though I don’t love relievers in this spot, his performance was hard to ignore. If you put Verlander there, I could live with that. But Ervin Santana or Drew Pomer…nevermind.
Rookie of the Year:
- Aaron Judge, NY Yankees
- Trey Mancini, Baltimore
- Andrew Benintendi, Boston
There really is no 2nd and 3rd here. Judge will be unanimous. Mancini had a higher OPS than Benintendi (.826 to .776), so I went with him 2nd. Plus, I was continuously furious with Andrew for all the boneheaded plays he made on the bases this season. Deserves to be knocked down. There really weren’t any other choices here. Yuli Gurriel is apparently technically a rookie this year. But since he is 33 years old, has played professionally since he was about 8 and had exactly 130 at-bats in 2016 (if he had 131, he would not have been considered a rookie in 2017), I’m passing on him for my ballot. Honorable mention goes to Matt Olson of Oakland here, since he hit 24 bombs in only 59 games and 216 plate appearances this year. Maybe I should have put him second…
Manager of the Year:
- Paul Molitor, Minnesota
- A.J. Hinch, Houston
- Terry Francona, Cleveland
Hinch’s Astros won the World Series. Tito’s Indians had the best record in the league. But Molitor is the ONLY choice here. The Twins made the playoffs this year after losing 103 games in 2016. How did they do that? I have no idea. Have you seen that squad?
Dozier had a good year. Miguel Sano was having a good year…until he missed the last 6 weeks or so with some sort of shin problem. Byron Buxton woke up in the second half (and won a Gold Glove…YAAAAY). Jose Berrios developed some and Santana had a nice year leading the rotation.
But the rest? Brandon Kintzler was an All-Star closer for the team…then was dealt to the Nationals at the trading deadline. The corpse of Joe Mauer is still around…and did hit .305. Kind of an empty .305 though. The rest of the pitching staff was pretty horrendous…and they actually gave a 44-year-old Bartolo Colon 15 starts, AFTER he went 2-8, 8.14 in 13 starts for the Braves.
I can’t see how this team finished anywhere near the playoffs. So Molitor should win this thing unanimously. Though I’m sure some idiot voted for John Farrell because the Red Sox finished first this year. After all, Nick Cafardo probably has a vote, eh?
Next: The National League
So we are finally here. Took the Sox forever to clinch the division but they got it done. Does anyone give them a chance in the playoffs however?
I’m not too excited about their chances, to be honest. But in the playoffs, I suppose anything is possible. We all know I have been down on this team since early in the year. How I feel about Manager John Farrell is quite obvious. But the team itself? They won 93 games and the division. How can you feel bad about that? Well, to me, this team has actually underachieved this year. I mean, how many of the players actually improved from last year? Out of the position players, maybe one…and it was Christian Vazquez. He only played 99 games. Of course, I am not counting Rafael Devers and Andrew Benintendi, who obviously improved from last year, since both were essentially minor leaguers.
But the guys that were supposed to be the centerpieces of the offense…Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts, Hanley Ramirez and I suppose even Jackie Bradley Jr…all regressed this year. Dustin Pedroia probably was about as good as he can be these days. But he missed 57 games this season. Very frustrating.
The pitching staff? Drew Pomeranz and Craig Kimbrel took a step up. And of course Chris Sale came over and dominated. But the rest? Meh. We don’t even need to talk about Rick Porcello’s pathetic year. Well…at least he will have one great year under his belt to look back on.
In my opinion, the Sox have been an unlikable bunch all year and we’ve hashed through a lot of that…the David Price and Dennis Eckersley thing, the Pedroia/Manny Machado thing, just about everything Farrell does…and all that other off the field stuff. Add it all up and it can be tough to root for them. But of course I will…
So now they go up against a 101 win Houston Astro team in the American League Division Series. How do they matchup? Glad you asked! Let’s have a brief look at how the rosters should stack up and see if we can come up with any way the Sox can win this series. Only a 5-gamer, so as noted above, anything can happen. Rosters have not been announced, so a little bit of guesswork involved here…especially for the ‘Stros:
*Catcher: Bos: Vazquez, Sandy Leon. Hou: Brian McCann, Evan Gattis.
I think we can sum this matchup as “defense vs. offense”. I know, Vasky hit .290 this year, but let’s be real. Anyway, not that percentage of base stealers caught is the “be all, end all” here. But Vazquez was 42% and Leon 37%. The Astros? McCann 13%, Gattis 10%…and if they end up keeping a 3rd catcher, it will likely be Juan Centeno…who tossed out 8%, though admittedly in few opportunities. I don’t think Houston cares as long as their guys hit a little and don’t have too many passed balls. I’ve already written enough here.
Edge: Even, believe it or not.
*Infield: Bos: Mitch Moreland (1B), Pedroia (2B), Bogaerts (SS), Devers (3B). Hou: Yuli Gurriel (1B), Jose Altuve (2B), Carlos Correa (SS), Alex Bregman (3B).
Pedey is still hobbling, X has been painfully average all year, Devers has slowed down a bit since his electric debut and Mitch Moreland is…Mitch Moreland. Compare that to two studs who will get MVP votes in Altuve and Correa (who may have been a top candidate if he hadn’t missed over 40 games), a potential future star in Bregman, who got better as the year went on, and a solid first sacker in Gurriel…need I say more?
Edge: Houston, by a landslide.
*Outfield: Bos: Benintendi (LF), Bradley (CF), Betts (RF). Hou: Marwin Gonzalez (LF), George Springer (CF), Josh Reddick (RF).
Josh Reddick? Does anyone know he was .314/13/82 this year? .314? Springer had an awesome year. Gonzalez was a sort of super utility guy until he started playing more left down the stretch. Lot of offense here and the defense is not all that bad either. Reddick did win a Gold Glove in 2012…though that also may have been because he hit 32 homers that year…you know, because that’s sometimes (often) how Gold Glove voting goes. Bradley and Betts are true Gold Glovers, though I know JBJ hasn’t actually won one. And offensively, the Sox OF’s are pretty good too, though the feeling is they could be better. This is a close one.
Edge: Houston, by a smidge.
*Designated Hitter: Bos: Ramirez. Hou: Carlos Beltran.
Hanley is infuriating, but can still hit a little. Beltran looks done. He may not be in this spot this series, but I’m putting him here for now.
Edge: Boston, as much as it pains me to say.
*Bench: Bos: Eduardo Nunez (IF), Brock Holt (INF/OF), Chris Young (OF), Rajai Davis (OF/PR). Hou: Tyler White (IF), Derek Fisher (OF), Cameron Maybin (OF/PR).
Seemingly a wasteland on both sides. Sure, Nunez made a difference when he got to Boston. But he got hurt, then came back for a couple of innings and got hurt again. Do we really think he will all of a sudden ready to go this week? Holt should be replaced by Deven Marrero on the roster. Neither one can hit, but Marrero has the better glove. Young stinks and Rajai should only be a runner. The Astros bench may be worse. Maybin can still play a bit (at least run) and Fisher has some promise. But nothing impressive here. Only three bench guys for Houston because of Marwin’s versatility. And because they need as many bullpen arms as possible…since most of them are not necessarily good.
Edge: Boston, simply because of Nunez, if he’s even somewhat healthy. If not, even, since they then both stink.
*Starting Pitchers: Bos: Chris Sale, Drew Pomeranz, Rick Porcello, Eduardo Rodriguez. Hou: Justin Verlander, Dallas Keuchel, Charlie Morton, Lance McCullers.
Sale alternated good and bad starts through September. Pomeranz pitched well Saturday, but was hammered his previous start. Always have to wonder when his bubble will burst. We don’t need to go through Porcello again. E-Rod? You just don’t know. Porcello and E-Rod are probably the right choices for Games 3 and 4, if indeed those are the choices. I really can’t do Doug Fister. You know Farrell will not go away from Porcello in this series too. If that is the case, and it would be hard to do, but it may be worth considering starting him in Game 2. His ERA was about a run and a half better on the road than at Fenway. Would take some serious stones to push Pomeranz back to Game 3. I don’t think anyone thinks Farrell has those stones though. In all seriousness, I doubt I would have the stones to do that either.
The Astros will start with 2 studs in Verlander and Keuchel. Then they have like 12 guys that could start the rest of the games. Morton, McCullers, Collin McHugh, Brad Peacock…they have options. And some pretty good ones.
Edge: Houston, and it’s not as close as one may think.
*Relief Pitchers: Bos: David Price, Matt Barnes, Joe Kelly, Brandon Workman, Carson Smith, Addison Reed, Craig Kimbrel. Hou: Peacock, James Hoyt, Michael Feliz, Francisco Liriano, Chris Devenski, Luke Gregerson, Will Harris, Ken Giles.
I’m not sure Price can be “this year’s Andrew Miller”. But you have to like the way he has responded to his bullpen role. Guys like Barnes, Kelly and Workman have pitched better than expected this year. But I’m not sold on them for the playoffs. As long as they are 6th inning guys, maybe 7th, I suppose I can accept it. Who else do you want? Heath Hembree? Fernando Abad? Blaine Boyer? Austin Maddox? Nah. I’m not sure Smith is ready, but when your next option is Robby Scott, I suppose we can see what Carson has to offer. I think they will put him on the roster and pick spots with him. Reed and Kimbrel are pretty stout at the end.
Total stab on the Houston bullpen. Peacock was in the rotation and did very well the latter half of the year. But he’s used to coming out of the pen, whereas it doesn’t appear Morton or McCullers are, so it’s easy to shift him back there. He’s about 16 innings away from his career high in innings too, so you know managers like to protect those guys. Devenski, Harris, Gregerson and Giles are decent enough, but are we afraid? Liriano hasn’t been great, but he is a lefty you know. Feliz, Hoyt, Mike Fiers, Tony Sipp, Joe Musgrove, Tyler Clippard? Take your pick. McHugh could actually be here too.
Edge: Boston, primarily due to Reed and Kimbrel at the back end.
So who wins the series? Houston, 3-1. Sox win one of the first two. Then some combination of Porcello, E-Rod, Fister and Hector Velasquez get blasted out of Fenway in Games 3 and 4.