Blog Archives

Changing Of The Guard…

…”Guard”, get it??!!

I crack myself up sometimes!!

Oh wait, this doesn’t make any sense now, sorry.  But it will.

So now that Kemba Walker (a guard…changing from Kyrie Irving…ok, enough!) and Enes Kanter have officially been introduced by the Boston Celtics…along with all the other moves already announced…it’s time to take stock of the current roster.

9 of the 17 from last season have departed.  So over half of the team is new.  Ok, so Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Morris are the ones that really matter.  Aron Baynes and Terry Rozier I guess matter a little.  While Guerschon Yabusele, Jonathan Gibson, R.J. Hunter and PJ Dozier don’t matter at all.

That being said, 5 of the 9 rotation players are gone.  So the turnover is significant.

So what do we make of it?

Hard to say, to be honest.

Let’s face it, with the roster they had last season, they were supposed to roll into the NBA Finals.  And they really should have.  Or certainly put up a better fight.  Instead, they “rolled” to 49 victories and a second round exit.

Then they lost one of the better players in the league in Irving…I know, also a total jackwagon, but still…and then a solid, if unspectacular, presence in the middle in Horford.  And a very good back end starter or top guy off the bench in Morris.

And replaced them with…what?

Walker may be a very good player.  But probably in reality, not a max guy.  And a step down from Kyrie (when Kyrie has his head out of his arse of course).  Horford may not have been an All-Star and unstoppable force in the middle, but Kanter seems to be a HUGE downgrade from him.  Morris to…who?  Grant Williams?  I don’t know.

Even Baynes’ six fouls may be missed.  And Rozier, even though he thought he was a Hall of Famer, who replaces him now?

Seems like a bunch of question marks.

Is the locker room better?  I don’t know, maybe.  Reports had Jaylen Brown being kind of an arseclown last year.  He’s still here.

Jayson Tatum?  Still a little young and immature perhaps?  (Ok, I just explained a bunch of pro athletes, I know).

I think the Celtics are depending on the locker room being better.  And that having an effect above everything else.  Because the talent certainly doesn’t measure up.

I don’t think anyway.

The Celtics have got 14 players under contract and 2 players on 2-way deals with the G League (not including the “legendary” Tacko Fall…more on him later).

It would appear the starters are:

Walker, Brown, Tatum, Kanter and Gordon Hayward.

The rest of the rotation?  All I can think of is Marcus Smart as of now.  I suppose Daniel Theis and Robert Williams will get minutes at backup center.  I can’t tell you anything about the other center the team has signed, Vincent Poirier.  Not expecting much though.

The team is high on first round picks Romeo Langford and Grant Williams, but we will see.

Second rounder Carsen Edwards lit up the Summer League and that was fun to watch.  But…it’s the Summer League.  Fellow second rounder Tremont Waters had a great Summer League as well…and all that earned him was a two-way contract…for now anyway.

Who’s left?  Semi Ojeleye and Brad Wanamaker?  No thanks.  Semi will get minutes because Coach Brad Stevens loves him.  But he stinks, sorry.  Max Strus on the other two-way.  Who??!

So maybe the team goes 6 deep for now, until others establish themselves…IF they do, that is.  That in and of itself worries me.  Because if Stevens doesn’t have an 8 or 9 man rotation then he plays the first 6 and then gives the other 7 active guys some minutes seemingly every night.  That never seems to work.

And that isn’t even getting into the whole “will Hayward be the player he once was now that he is two years removed from his injury” thing.  I guess now Tatum and Brown will have plenty of minutes to play, so they won’t be bitching about Gordo getting his share either.

But that’s the other thing.  Not only does the team expect that the better locker room will lead to more success.  But I believe they think that Hayward is back.  In addition to the continued development of the two “kids” in Brown and Tatum.  So all of that will add up to a championship contender.  THEY think that anyway.  From what I can tell.  Not sure I am buying into all that logic.

Sssssssoooo…that leads us to everyone’s new fan favorite…Tacko Fall!

He’s a nice story.  Smart guy, fluent in English over a mere 8 months, cute name and…he’s 7’6″…did you know that?

But is he a real NBA player?  I say “no”.

I know, raining on everyone’s parade.  But seriously, at that height he didn’t even dominate in college…against less than elite competition in his conference.  I know, the conference has some teams with names:  UConn, Cincinnati, Temple, Memphis and perhaps Wichita State?  But how good are those teams NOW?

Now everyone expects him to go out and star in the NBA despite that?

Ok, executives, coaches and the like around the NBA don’t necessarily think that.  Since, you know, he wasn’t actually drafted.  But the FANS do.  Especially Celtic fans.

Listen, I would like to keep him on the roster, either the open 15th spot or signing Waters to that 15th spot and Tacko to a 2-way.  Can’t hurt to see if he can become a 10 minute a game player at that size, especially defensively.  Have him play in Maine all year in the G-League and see what happens.

But let’s all pump the brakes on him more than a little bit.

Going back, I’d like to see more of Edwards and Robert Williams…and see any of Langford.  But I’m not expecting much out of this outfit unless Hayward is truly back and Tatum and Brown take a huge leap up.

Makes you also wonder if Danny has anything else up his sleeve.  But realistically, what are his options?

I think this is the team we are looking at come October.  A stark contrast to what we were looking at last October…

Advertisements

SELL!!

So, that London series was fun, eh?!

29 runs given up, 21 by that vaunted bullpen that we’ve already covered ad nauseam…sweet.  Well, the Boston Red Sox DID score 21 themselves.  Of course, after they got down big in both games.  Then couldn’t get a key hit to actually come all the way back in either.

Where does this leave the team?  I say it’s time to sell off parts.

84 games in and now 11 games behind the division leading New York Yankees.  Sure, they are only 2 games out of the second wild card (4 out of the top spot).  But does this feel like a team that can make some noise come playoff time?

No F’n way.  Not to me anyway.  And I think to most of us.

We are not even at the All-Star break quite yet, why am I so ready to throw in the towel?

It’s pretty easy to understand actually.  I mean, you have seen how listless they have appeared for most of the year, right?

The players (and the manager, and the front office, and the rest of the organization…) will undoubtedly blame the long 2018 season for the way they came out of the gate for this current season…and how they have kind of sleepwalked since then.  And maybe that is a factor…though it really should be a small one.

The Red Sox brought 21 of the 25 guys back who were on the World Series roster last season.  And one of the departed, Drew Pomeranz, doesn’t even count since he didn’t even pitch for several weeks down the stretch, including the playoffs.  Ian Kinsler, Joe Kelly and Craig Kimbrel were essentially the only departures.  Most of the guys on the current roster were here last year as well, although not active for the World Series, or the playoffs for that matter.  But here nonetheless.

Really, when you think about it, the only two players that have played more than a minor role on this years’ team that was not involved in any way last year at all are Michael Chavis and Colton Brewer.  I’ll give you Marcus Walden too if you like.  Since he pitched a few innings early in the year and then was never to be heard from again.

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again:  that is not enough player turnover.  You need new blood every year, but especially after winning it all.  Keeps the fire burning and everyone is presumably still hungry.

Add this to the fact that Manager Alex Cora simply did not have the team ready to go right out of Spring Training, another colossal mistake.  “We did the same thing last year…” he liked to say in April.  Welp, every year is different, so they need to be treated differently.  Even I know that.

With this, the wretched bullpen that is like FOUR arms away from being useful, four arms that aren’t anywhere near the organization at this time and everything else, my recommendation is that they make some deals at the trade deadline.  Sending guys out that is.

The team has already made it clear that they do not want to go over the luxury tax limit.  So where are they going to acquire good bullpen arms, to start?  They have no real prospects to give up, ones that other teams want anyway.  So how do they fix things?

They don’t.

Since the farm system is so barren, maybe it’s time to see what some of these players can get you?  Granted, most of these guys won’t fetch much.  But you never know.

There is one trade deadline this year, on July 31st.  No more “waiver” deadline on August 31st.  Is this a good thing?  I don’t know.  At first blush, I say no.  Some decent deals can happen in August.  There are two full months to go after the deadline as it stands this year.  That is a long time.  Still a lot of clubs that think they have a chance.  That number dwindles in August and makes things ripe for more deals.  I don’t think I like it, but let’s see how it plays out this first year in existence.

So if the Sox are going to make moves, they have to happen sooner rather than later.  And, as stated above, how can one be confident in this team as currently constituted going forward?

Not to mention that stretch in late July/early August with the 14 games in 15 days against only the Yanks and Tampa Bay.  8 of them against the Yankees, what is that 2-6 maybe?

So this will never happen at all, I will guarantee it.  The Sox have spent too much money and there is too much talent on the roster for the organization to wave the white flag.  They all will think they can turn that proverbial switch when it matters too.  But let’s take a quick look below at specific things I would do, or at least consider doing, before July 31st, by positional group:

Catcher:  No need to do anything here.  Christian Vazquez and Sandy Leon are good enough.  But maybe they can get Blake Swihart back?  (I may never give this up!).  Although Blake has been even more atrocious in Arizona than he was in Boston.  That’s what happens when you play once every 10-15 days or so I guess.

Infield:  Mitch Moreland and Steven Pearce seemed like a GREAT idea to platoon at first base for the 2019 season when it started.  Unfortunately, it hasn’t exactly worked out that way.  Both of these contracts will expire at seasons end and it seems that Chavis has kind of locked in that first base role at this point anyway.  If healthy, both Moreland and Pearce can provide some value to a (real) contending team.  They won’t fetch a ton, but it should be considered.

Brock Holt and Eduardo Nunez also are up at the end of the season.  These guys won’t get you anything so I guess I probably wouldn’t bother.  I don’t think I don’t want either of these dudes back next year, so maybe they can explore it.  I’d actually take Holt back, but he may be up for a decent raise…and he can never stay healthy either.  And I don’t want to see him every day at second base next year anyway.

Outfield:  Here’s the big one.  To start, let’s ship Jackie Bradley Jr. out of town as soon as possible.  He hit .315 with 5 homers and 14 RBIs in June.  .992 OPS.  There is his hot month.  He is making 8.5 mil this year, with one more year of arbitration next year.  Probably get 10-12 mil or so.  For 5 bad months and one good one.  Let’s sell high now and hope some team is dumb enough to give them something good for him.

The elephant in the room?  Mookie Betts.  I am not in favor of moving him just to move him.  But if he is really not going to sign here long term, then the reality is the Sox need to shop him.  I have no idea if he wants to re-sign here.  But it sure as hell doesn’t feel like it.  And that is the popular opinion.  The Red Sox HAVE to know how he feels, way better then Joe Fan does.  If he is truly a flight risk, the Sox need to take action.  Don’t be rash, but it has to be a real option.  Although I will take a proven Major League player over prospects 100 times out of a 100, this may be an opportunity to do some replenishing on the farm.

J.D. Martinez has to be a consideration to move too.  I believe there is a pretty good chance he opts out after this year and tries to secure that one last guaranteed contract…for more than he is supposed to get the next three years.  Again, the team has to have a better idea of his feelings on opting in or out after the season.  If the sense is that he will opt out, trades would have to be explored here.

Pitching staff:  I don’t have the stomach to split out the bullpen and no one wants any of those guys anyway.  The one starter that should have some value is Rick Porcello.  Seeing he’s up after this year and the signing of Nathan Eovaldi basically ensured the Sox wouldn’t re-sign him, Porcello should be shopped.  Sure, he’s not the “Cy Young Rick Porcello” this season, but he can eat innings and contribute to a contender.  No doubt about it.

Once again, none of this will happen.  Then the Sox will squeak into the playoffs and lose in the first round.

But think about it, even if the Sox were able to unload most of the players with expiring contracts (or close to it) talked about above, they would still have a nice core of Xander Bogaerts, Rafael Devers, Andrew Benintendi, Chris Sale, David Price, Eovaldi, Eduardo Rodriguez (I guess), Vazquez, Chavis and I suppose a couple of bullpen arms that can work the 6th and 7th.  Maybe some decent major league players coming back in trades.  Perhaps a top (real) prospect or three.  And all of a sudden some money to spend, being not right up against the luxury tax anyway.

A World Series winning team?  Unlikely.  But making the best of a bad situation?  Perhaps…It COULD be an interesting few weeks for the Red Sox.  If they want it to be…

Oh So Close…

…so it’s been a little over two weeks.  Have we recovered?

Not particularly.

That will explain the delay in writing about it…or should anyway.

Yup, the Boston Bruins’ loss in the Stanley Cup Final is what we are referring to.

But we won’t spend a lot of time rehashing the past.  No sense in doing a whole lot of that.  With the start of NHL free agency coming up on July 1st, it is about time to focus on the future of the team.

That being said, what a massive, MASSIVE missed opportunity for the organization.  HUMONGOUS.

The road was cleared.  Tampa Bay, perhaps the best regular season team in NHL history, got swept away in the first round.  Washington, the defending Stanley Cup Champions, also ousted in the first round.  Pittsburgh, who always seem to be scary, done in the first round.  Toronto may have been the toughest matchup of them all, and the Bs beat them in the first round.

Out West, Calgary had the second best record in the league and yes, they were dropped in the first round also.  Did San Jose scare you?  They did me.  And the supposedly lesser St. Louis Blues took care of them in the Conference Finals.

So there were the Blues.  A last place team in early January.  That’s all they had to beat.

Then, seemingly true to form in this years’ Cup playoffs, the Blues took home the Cup.

Were there injuries?  Of course!  You don’t play 100 plus games in a season and not get banged up.  Especially after 20 plus games in the grueling playoffs.  But the Blues most assuredly had theirs too.

Cheap shots by the Blues?  Bad refs?  Check.  Check.  But they needed to overcome that.  It’s the Stanley Cup Finals for Chrissakes!!

I sssssoooooo want to pin the entire blame on goalie Tuukka Rask.  But I cannot.  That kind of pains me.  But although he did not play as well in the Finals as he did in the first three rounds, he didn’t exactly have a lot of help.

The first line was invisible.  I know, they were all hurt.  But still.  Injury did not cause Brad Marchand from trying to get off the ice with 8 seconds left in a period for a shift change when his guy then went down and scored.  Or when Marchand had half of an empty net to shoot at to give them an early lead in Game 7 and he fired it right into the goalie.  Or when Joakim Nordstrom just had to lift the puck a few inches over Jordan Binnington’s pad to score into a wide open part of the net and he couldn’t do it.

I could go on, but I won’t.  The Blues were the better team in the series.  Simple as that.

Let’s try to move on…

What are the Bruins going to do in the offseason?  Well, what CAN they do?

I’ll tell you one thing:  Do not expect an all-out pursuit of a marquee free agent, such as the run at John Tavares last year.

They simply don’t have the cap room to do so.  It looks like they have about 12 million in cap room to maneuver.  Can they create more?  Of course!

Although we won’t get into as much detail as we did with each the players on the Boston Celtics’ roster, we will take a look at all the players on the Bruins’ roster as of right now.  We will just do it by positional group instead.  Per usual in these types of exercises, I will give my thoughts on what I think they SHOULD do in each group, as well as what I think they WILL do.

Starting with my favorite:

Goaltenders:  The Bs played all of last year with the two goalies, Tuuks and Jaroslav Halak.  They have a couple of kids in Daniel Vladar and Kyle Keyser, but we don’t care about them.  Why?  Because every time the organization has a “goalie of the future”, they end up elsewhere.  The most recent example will be Zane McIntyre, who has been in the system for like 100 years it feels like, but is now a free agent at age 27.  Good luck Zane!

Well, I think you know what I would do.  I would shop Tuuks as fast as possible, hoping that someone overpays for his Cup run.  With only a modified no-trade clause, this is indeed possible.  Then take Rask’s 7 mil salary and sign another veteran similar to Halak, who makes 2.75 mil.  Then, both your goalies make less than 6 mil combined and you can use the savings in part to acquire another, I don’t know…SCORER?

We also know what will happen.  These two will be between the pipes again next season.  No sense in going much further here now.

Defense:  The Bruins used 12 defensemen last year.  Ok, Jakub Zboril and Urho Vaakanainen only played two games apiece, so really they used 10.  So having some depth here helps, especially with a 42-year-old Zdeno Chara and a tremendously injury prone Kevan Miller still in tow.

Still makes me wonder why they signed journeyman Steven Kampfer to a two year extension though.  Kampfer spent most of the year as the teams’ 8th defenseman and pretty much ended it as the 9th, as Connor Clifton seemed to leapfrog him on the depth chart.  With Zboril and Urho getting closer, along with Jeremy Lauzon (16 NHL games last season) in the mix as well, what the hell did they need Kampfer for?  It’s not like they can send him down to Providence.  He would have to occupy space on the 23 man game day roster every day, even if he doesn’t suit up on the 20 man active roster.

Hmmmmmm…

Are they thinking about moving one of the top 7?  Entirely possible.

The most popular name?  Torey Krug.  Krug makes 5.25 mil in the last year of his deal next season.  Though I would still consider him a “specialist”, in particular, a “power play specialist” because of his physical stature, I will admit he has improved on defense over his career.  But if he wants like 10 mil a year as a free agent, then see ya!!  Some national writers have kind of anointed him as a first pairing d-man.  Really?  But if that is the perception, the team may be better off moving him.

Problem is, Krug has supposedly been quoted that he wants to play in Boston “forever” and that he hopes “something can be worked out soon”.  So what if he takes a hometown discount, similar to what we believe Brad Marchand took when he was up for his current deal?  May be tough to then move him.

I have a second name to throw out:  Brandon Carlo.  He is a restricted free agent, along with Charlie McAvoy.  Chaz was a first rounder and has some offensive upside to boot.  He is largely considered the heir apparent as the franchise defenseman when Z finally at least slides back in the pecking order.  Carlo was a second rounder and is an excellent defenseman.  Really took a step up this past season.  But he is no offensive threat whatsoever.

If the Bs cannot get something done with either before the onset of free agency, are they expecting to match McAvoy’s presumably monster offer from another team and let Carlo walk?  If Carlo wants 7-8 mil a year, I expect that he may be the one to go.

Just a hunch, but something to look out for anyway.  Would at least partly explain the quick re-signing of the veteran Kampfer.  Who could serve as good depth, certainly during the regular season.  All while the kids get more seasoning in the AHL.  Kampfer also can sit for long stretches on the inactive list, while you want the kids at least playing to develop more.

John Moore and Matt Grzelcyk round out the rest of the 12 and I expect they will be going nowhere.

Forwards:  Let’s revisit how the lines went for the majority of the playoffs:

  1.  Marchand/Patrice Bergeron/David Pastrnak
  2.  Jake DeBrusk/David Krejci/David Backes
  3.  Marcus Johansson/Charlie Coyle/Danton Heinen
  4.  Nordstrom/Sean Kuraly/Noel Acciari

Of course, Karson Kuhlman finished up in place of Backes and Chris Wagner kind of split with Acciari before he got hurt.  That was pretty much it for the Cup run.  Several other jamokes played a bit during the year and maybe we will cover them, maybe we won’t.

Of the 14 dudes above, Johansson and Acciari are unrestricted free agents and Heinen is restricted.  Johansson had a 4.6 mil cap hit last season.  I liked his play when healthy, but if that is the area he is looking for in free agency, best of luck to him!  Acciari was a nice 4th line piece, but I imagine that someone will give him something like 3/11 or something silly like that.  Similar to what previous bottom six (three?) players like Riley Nash and Tim Schaller got when they performed well in their roles here.  Good for Noel, but the Bs would be foolish to keep him at that pay rate.  They have enough guys that could step in for cheaper.  Like…Wagner…

As far as I’m concerned Heinen can go too.  But I imagine he will be back.  The team LOVES him.  In their defense, there was some crazy stat I heard during the Finals.  I wish I can remember what exactly, but it was something along the lines of that the opposing team simply did not score any goals when Heinen was on the ice.  There is admittedly some value in that…even though there are 4 other guys on the ice with him…plus the goalie.

The “elephant in the room” here is Backes.  He is completely useless.  But on the books for 6 mil (and a modified no-trade clause) for each of the next two years.  The simple answer is “buyout” as in, BUY HIM THE FK OUT!!!  But General Manager (as in “General Manager of the Year”) Don Sweeney has basically said they will not do that.

My question is…WHY???!!

Yes, I believe they would be stuck with half of Backes’ salary on the books still.  But three mil is better than six mil.  And that three could be used for better purposes.

If he stays, where does he go?  The ninth floor with Kampfer most nights?  Ok, fine.  But that seems like a waste.  Nordstrom/Kuraly/Wagner is a fine enough 4th line.  And I’m not putting him on the 3rd with Coyle and Heinen.  Certainly not back with Krejci.

Ugh…

Maybe they can package Backes and a kid or two and a draft pick or two to an NHL team that needs to hit the salary cap floor.  That way they get rid of the whole salary.  We can hope for that anyway.

In any event, the major need is that top six right wing spot.  I assume you have heard that tune before.  Whether you want to break up that first line or not is your decision.  There has been talk locally of moving Pasta with Krejci and Jake and finding a bigger dude to play with Bergy and Marchy.  Ok, fine.  But you need to pay that guy too.  With what?  After you pay Chaz and some others, there may be nothing left?

Kuhlman?  Maybe.  But that’s a little underwhelming.

Peter Cehlarik (restricted), Anders Bjork, Trent Frederic, Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson, Zack Senyshyn?  Well, JFK retreated back to Sweden before the playoff run even ended, so that is not an option.  Wasn’t a good one anyway…as the rest would appear not to be either.

Move Krejci?  I’d absolutely consider it.  But good luck with that at his 7.25 mil price tag.  And, oh yeah, his FULL no-trade clause.

The solution?  Find that other top six winger somehow and then just mix and match the bottom six.

Easier said than done.  But that is really the only thing I think the Bruins will attempt to do.

And I really don’t think they will be able to get anyone good, seeing they have to spend money on keeping McAvoy and trying to keep Carlo.  Unless they can move Krug, and/or Backes and/or Krejci, it just doesn’t seem realistic.

But I’ve been wrong before…so we will see starting in a few days…

%d bloggers like this: