Blog Archives

Week One!

The 1st week of the NFL season is always the hardest to predict.  No one really knows how teams are coming out of the gate anymore.  Add in the fact that a lot of the top players are playing very little in the preseason, if they even play at all.  Especially the quarterbacks.  So that would seem to make even the best players rusty and not necessarily in sync with their units as a whole.

But, per usual, we will give it a shot!

Baltimore (-5.5) at Miami

This spread is only 5.5??  Miami is wretched.  Who do they even have left, as they are firmly entrenched in their tanking process?  Wait…they have FITZMAGIC!!!

Baltimore 24, Miami 10.  Lock Of The Week (new feature, thanks Mike B.!)

Atlanta at Minnesota (-4.5)

Mediocrity at its best.

Minnesota 28, Atlanta 23.

Kansas City (-4.5) at Jacksonville  

Seems as this spread is a little low also.  I’m not as excited about the “Nick Foles era” as many other people are either.

Kansas City 38, Jacksonville 17.

Washington at Philadelphia (-8.5) 

CASE KEENUM!!!  ‘Nuff said.

Philadelphia 31, Washington 13.

Tennessee at Cleveland (-5.5)

The Browns kind of loaded up in the offseason.  But I’m not totally on board with them quite yet.  They will need to show me something at the start of the year.  Now teams will come gunning for them a bit.  There is more tape available to study Baker Mayfield…and teams most assuredly did over the offseason.  Etc., etc., etc.  I’m not saying I love the Titans either.  But at this very moment, I feel better about them until Cleveland plays a few games.

Tennessee 23, Cleveland 20.

Buffalo at New York Jets (-3.5) 

This is a great Opening Day Game…sigh…

Buffalo 17, New York Jets 14.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at Carolina 

There had been questions about Jared Goff remaining with the Rams past this year.  Sure, he had a good year last year.  And helped take the team to the Super Bowl.  But it sounds like people around the league weren’t all that convinced.  Seemed to give Coach Sean McVay most of the credit for whatever reason.  But now, Jared Goff’s contract tells us otherwise.  Looks like they do think he is the franchise quarterback he is supposed to be, even if other people don’t believe it.  I can’t believe the size of that contract, regardless of what anyone thinks of him.  He’s still Jared Goff.

Los Angeles Rams 33, Carolina 24.

Cincinnati at Seattle (-9.5) 

I don’t even think I gave either of these teams a single thought during the preseason.

Seattle 31, Cincinnati 17.

Indianapolis at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5)

As much as I am not into the “Nick Foles era” in Jacksonville, I would say that people are even less excited about the “Jacoby Brissett (or Brian Hoyer?) era” in Indy.

Los Angeles Chargers 27, Indianapolis 16. 

Detroit (-2.5) at Arizona

I guess the beginning of the “Kyler Murray era” will make me more interested in this game than the Jets/Bills.

Arizona 10, Detroit 9.

New York Giants at Dallas (-7.5) 

The end of the “Eli Manning era” can’t come soon enough for me…for a variety of reasons.  But I imagine plenty of Giants fans feel the same way.  Speaking of Goff’s new contract, Ezekiel Elliott got his money too.  Seems silly to pay that kind of dough to a running back.  I purposely did not mention Tyreek Hill’s new deal earlier.  Disgusting.  That dude shouldn’t even be in the league.

Dallas 23, New York Giants 13.  

San Francisco at Tampa Bay (-0.5)

Can Bruce Arians save the “Jameis Winston era” in Tampa?  Will the “Jimmy Garoppolo era” ever take off in San Fran?  Are you sick of all the “era” comments yet??

San Francisco 24, Tampa Bay 21. 

Pittsburgh at New England (-6.5)

I worry about the Patriots offensive line protecting Tom Brady.  But with the question marks at wide receiver, I think the Pats run the ball a ton.  I also think the Pats defense is better out of the gate this year.  Think the spread is a little too high, but it would be hard for me to believe that the Pats will lose on the “unfurling of the championship banner” night.  Though…it has happened before.

New England 27, Pittsburgh 24.

Houston at New Orleans (-7.5) 

New Orleans has kind of been the team that most seem to have penciled in to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl in February.  Houston just made some head-scratching moves, but I suppose should still be a good team in the AFC.  That’s really all I have to say on that.

New Orleans 30, Houston 20.  

Denver at Oakland (-1.5)

Antonio Brown…SMH.  I can’t even…

Denver 23, Oakland 16.  

Week (against the spread):  1-0

Week (straight up):  1-0

Lock Of The Week:  0-0

Season (against the spread):  1-0

Season (straight up):  1-0

Week Sixteen…

Abridged (and last-minute) holiday edition.  Merry Christmas!  Happy Holidays!  Happy Festivus!  Have a great “whatever you celebrate”!!

Indianapolis at Baltimore (-12.5)

Hate laying this many points with an average Ravens team.  But their offense has picked up.  And Indy’s D ain’t good.  Baltimore still fighting for playoffs of course as well.

Baltimore 34, Indianapolis 17.

Minnesota (-2.5) at Green Bay

If Aaron Rodgers was playing, this game would be a whole lot more interesting.

Minnesota 31, Green Bay 20.

Detroit (-3.5) at Cincinnati

MARVIN LEWIS IS GONE!!!  Or he will be.  Will that spur the Bengals on?  Well, it didn’t last week.

Detroit 27, Cincinnati 17.

Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) at Tennessee

Seems like the Titans should be better than they are.  So when their collapse this year is complete, people should lose jobs.  Only fear here is the Rams have a letdown from their blowout win against Seattle last week.  And the cross-country travel.  But I don’t see it.

Los Angeles Rams 37, Tennessee 23.

Denver at Washington (-3.5) 

Brock Osweiler looked great in relief last week…wait…it was against the Colts.  Paxton Lynch?  Surprisingly, not a better option.  The ‘Skins actually should have lost to the Cards last week, but the Cards couldn’t get in the end zone.  Otherwise, Washington is also playing out the string.  Tough call here.

Washington 24, Denver 17.

Atlanta at New Orleans (-5.5)

Second time these foes meet in three weeks, with the Falcons winning the first by three in Atlanta.  Should be another close one that could go either way.

New Orleans 30, Atlanta 27.

Cleveland at Chicago (-6.5)

Hate laying this much with the Bears.  But seems like they are letting Trubisky loose a little bit.  Plus…the Browns.

Chicago 24, Cleveland 20.

Buffalo at New England (-12.5) 

No revenge expected on Gronk with the Bills still being in the playoff chase.  I think.  Some think this game will be close.  Buffalo, with Tyrod Taylor early on last game moving the ball fairly well.  And maybe a letdown from the Pats after their “controversial” win in Pittsburgh last week.  But don’t count me among that group.

New England 38, Buffalo 20.

Miami at Kansas City (-10.5) 

Jay Cutler sure came crashing back to earth last week, eh?  The Chiefs seem close to early season form as well.

Kansas City 34, Miami 20.

Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) at New York Jets

I know, the Jets seemingly play everyone close.  The Chargers are on the East Coast.  There is some merit to all of this.

Los Angeles Chargers 20, New York Jets 14.  

Tampa Bay at Carolina (-9.5) 

Couple of three-point losses the last two weeks against the Lions and Falcons.  Still a lost season for them.  And the Panthers are in the thick of it, have won 6 of 7 and have been putting up some points.  Don’t expect that to change against Tampa

Carolina 38, Tampa Bay 23.

Jacksonville (-4.5) at San Francisco

Could be a little bit of a trap here.  The Jags appear to be for real, as I now begrudgingly admit.  They are on the opposite coast.  Jimmy G has the Niners playing some inspired football.  The Jags could possibly be looking ahead to the matchup with the Titans next week.  But since the Jags are inexplicably in the mix for a first round bye…and even the #1 overall seed in the East…I’m thinking they will show up this week.  Led of course by their defense.

Jacksonville 31, San Francisco 13.  

New York Giants at Arizona (-4.5)  

Eli seemed rejuvenated last week against the Eagles.  Arizona choked a game against Washington.  In the end, I really don’t care about this game, but I have to pick someone.

New York Giants 27, Arizona 24.

Seattle at Dallas (-4.5)

I know, Zeke is back.  The Seahawks are not the same team as in past years.  Lots of holes.  I just don’t see them throwing up a couple of stinkers in a row.  Plus…every time you want to count Seattle out, they prove us all wrong.

Seattle 31, Dallas 27.

Pittsburgh (-9.5) at Houston

The Steelers need to keep winning games.  They are probably still infuriated about last week.  T.J. Yates.  Pittsburgh hasn’t really blown many teams out this year.  But expect it to happen this week, even with no Antonio Brown and a porous defense.

Pittsburgh 37, Houston 10.

Oakland at Philadelphia (-8.5) 

The Raiders are just about done.  Disappointing season, to say the least.  The Eagles had a tougher fight than expected last week against the G-Men.  Maybe a Carson Wentz injury letdown.  But then Nick Foles comes in and tosses 4 TD’s anyway.  The Eagles need to keep winning, so expect a score closer to what they have been normally doing this year.

Philadelphia 34, Oakland 20.

Week (against the spread):  10-6

Week (straight up):  14-2

Season (against the spread):  122-102

Season (straight up):  150-74

Marquee Matchup?

As we dive right into Week Thirteen, I think the schedule makers feel a little duped.  Before the NFL got greedy, the league used to only have Thursday Night Football games after Thanksgiving, if they had any, that is.  Presumably, these games would feature the “best of the best”.  I imagine the plan still is to subscribe to that theory…after the first several weeks feature several mediocre to poor teams because every team has to play at least one Thursday game.

Tonight’s game features two NFC East teams that big things were expected of.  Dallas was 13-3 last year and Washington was 8-7-1, though on the fringe of the playoffs.  Welp, both teams are currently sitting at 5-6, with little to no hope for the playoffs.  Certainly neither will win the division, since both are behind the Philadelphia Eagles by 5 games with 5 to play.  Disappointing, to state the obvious.

That all being said, I have a sneaky feeling that this game will be a good one.  I have no idea why.  Just another hunch.  And we know how my hunches sometime go…

Washington at Dallas (-1.5)

The Cowboys are 2-4 at home.  So yes, they have already lost one more game at home than they had lost all of last year in total.  They have scored a total of 22 points in the last three games.  No Zeke.  The corpse of Darren McFadden retired this week, if anyone cares about that as well.

The ‘Skins haven’t been a ton better, struggling against a woeful Giants team on Thanksgiving.  Though they have been at least scoring some points in their losses.

You’d think maybe Dallas may finally score some points again and win at home.  I think half of that may be true.  We shall see…

Washington 24, Dallas 20.

Week (against the spread):  12-4

Week (straight up):  13-3

Season (against the spread):  92-84

Season (straight up):  116-60

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