Vegas got killed last week. Will it happen again? I wouldn’t bet on it…
Buffalo at New York Jets (-7.5)
I can’t imagine anyone cares about this game. The Bills can’t score and the Jets are at home. Josh McCown may be a better QB right now than Sam Darnold. Oh yeah, and…Nathan Peterman. Everything probably points to the Jets this week. But let’s remember, the Jets stink still too.
New York Jets 7, Buffalo 3.
Detroit at Chicago (-6.5)
The spread seems a little high for a divisional tilt. Chicago isn’t exactly proven either. But again…
Chicago 27, Detroit 20.
Washington at Tampa Bay (-2.5)
Tampa can score some points. But they give up a ton as well. The ‘Skins don’t score a ton, but they don’t give up a ton either. Which one gives?
Washington 31, Tampa Bay 24.
Arizona at Kansas City (-16.5)
Both of Cardinals’ wins are against the 2-7 49ers. Unfortunately, they play the 8-1 Chiefs this week.
Kansas City 38, Arizona 13.
New England (-7.5) at Tennessee
Big Monday night win for the Titans. But it was against Dallas. I love Mike Vrabel, but not this week. Does Tom Brady victimize Malcolm Butler this week? Perhaps. Butler has given up some big plays this year. The Pats are also coming off a big win against the Packers, will there be a letdown this week, right before their bye? It’s possible but unlikely. We think they finish strong here. And we don’t believe the Titans are that good. Dion Lewis may be able to run on the Pats. But who cares if they run the ball all game?
New England 27, Tennessee 17.
New Orleans (-4.5) at Cincinnati
The Saints outlasted the Rams last week. Great offensive battle. Saints are 4-0 on the road, believe it or not. The Bengals are the Bengals. And it appears A.J. Green won’t play. All signs point to the Saints. But…maybe a let down here. Just a gut feeling.
Cincinnati 33, New Orleans 30.
Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-3.5)
Jacksonville 31, Indianapolis 17.
Miami at Green Bay (-9.5)
Some say Aaron Rodgers kind of mailed it in late last week in the Packers game against the Patriots. That he has no confidence in his team and/or coaches. That may be a little strong. Either way, you know how you fix that? A home game against the Dolphins.
Green Bay 37, Miami 18.
Atlanta (-4.5) at Cleveland
The Falcons have been on a little bit of a roll. The Browns have not.
Atlanta 41, Cleveland 27.
Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5) at Oakland
We said last week, the Raiders have quit. Well, I think Jon Gruden may have anyway. Seemingly aiming for the worst record in the league, having three first round picks next year and already saying that “there are a ton of players that want to play for the Raiders in 2019”. I think we know where this is headed.
Los Angeles Chargers 45, Oakland 16.
Seattle at Los Angeles Rams (-10.5)
The Rams finally lost last week. Do they rebound this week? Probably. Another gut feeling that the Seahawks keep it close though…even on the road.
Los Angeles Rams 37, Seattle 31.
Dallas at Philadelphia (-6.5)
The Cowboys had a clunker just 6 days before this game will be played. The Eagles are coming off a bye. Seems like an easy one here.
Philadelphia 30, Dallas 17.
New York Giants at San Francisco (-3.5)
This is the Monday Nighter this week?! Sigh…
San Francisco 23, New York Giants 17.
Week (against the spread): 1-0
Week (straight up): 1-0
Season (against the spread): 72-63
Season (straight up): 88-47
…New England Patriot NFL draft coverage of course!
Yeah, I know…the Boston Bruins just won their first-round NHL playoff series and the Boston Celtics will try to do the same tonight. We will get to them soon and catch up on all that, I promise.
But I have a hair across my arse first…
All of this nonsense going down with the players in Foxborough…as well as with the players that have departed Foxborough.
Listen, all us Patriot fans know Coach Bill Belichick is generally an arsehole. In public for sure, and presumably inside the locker room as well, based on what we hear…and have heard for his entire tenure here. I’ll never understand why he has to be a total jerk to reporters just trying to do their job. But the way I see it is, as long as he wins like 13 games a year, goes to the AFC Championship every year and a Super Bowl roughly every other year, I can live with the stupid personality he shows us.
You would think that with all that success and that kind of cachet, the players would just deal with it as well.
Not this year. And that’s foolish.
The two biggest stars on the team now have been not so subtly hinting about their dissatisfaction this offseason. And most of the guys that have left have had something to say as well.
Tom Brady is likely pissed because Bill won’t let his personal trainer, Alex Guerrero, travel with the team and come into the building and all that. That’s what we assume it all comes down to. Brady also apparently is a more positive person these days and Bill’s negative methods wear on him now. And Tommy did not like Jimmy Garoppolo around either, we know that much. Rob Gronkowski isn’t having fun anymore. And the Guerrero issue may affect him as well. Waaaaaah…waaaaah…waaaah.
I’m not stupid enough to say that Belichick is responsible for the success that both of these guys have had in their respective careers. But he sure played a pretty big hand in both, no?
Bill kept Brady as the fourth QB his rookie year, then handed him the job even when the $100 million man Drew Bledsoe was recovered from his injury. Bill protected Tom with a running game and defense early in his career, as Brady developed. Then opened things up when Brady proved completely more than capable. Bill drafted Gronk when other teams were scared away by his back issues and has dealt with all of his injury issues throughout his career.
Please do not misinterpret this last thought. Brady and Gronk are legends of the game. They worked hard to become the players they have become. Take nothing away from them for that. But Bill also had to play a huge role for them to become what they are now as well. This much cannot be denied.
Anyway, if Bill lets everyone do their own thing as far as training goes, why have any trainers on the Patriot staff? He really has to have his own program (which also has seemingly worked here) and if players want to supplement with their own things, they can do that on their own time. I know, because these two guys are legends, maybe exceptions can be made in their cases. I get it. But still…Bill can’t have 53 players doing 53 different things. He needs his program and his staff to oversee things and make sure everyone stays on track. That’s what I think.
The departing players may be even worse. God love Danny Amendola. Clutch. Money. Use any word you want. I also don’t blame him for taking guaranteed money, also seeing that he took pay cuts every year here to stay. That all being said, he remains brittle and needs to be babied somewhat. And if everyone is healthy, where is he on the WR depth chart? Anyway, he said some stuff when he left town…although it wasn’t completely inflammatory, it still bugged me anyway.
Danny mainly questioned Malcolm Butler not playing in the Super Bowl. We all have. We don’t know if playing Butler in the big game would’ve made a difference. People think that the Pats automatically win the game if he does. I don’t necessarily buy that, though of course, it shouldn’t have hurt them. But let’s all please let that go. We don’t really know if Butler would have made a difference. Bill is never going to tell us why he did it. We’ve all been bitter about it since that day. But now it’s time to move on. The players should too.
Butler was actually complementary when he left. Good for him. He got his dough too. As Jeremy Roenick would say, “that’s great for him, twice-fold”. Most of the departing players you know wanted to say more and likely bash Bill some more than they hinted at, but kind of toned things down in the end. One guy that should have taken the high road like Bulter is Dion Lewis. Here’s a guy who’s injury-prone to start with, is a bit player the first two years of his career, out of football the following two, then picked up off the scrap heap by Belichick in 2015. Then Bill gives him a 2-year extension after Dion got off to a flying start, then he gets hurt again. Plays half seasons in 2015 and 2016. The organization babies him early in 2017 and he has a huge second half. Then we hear that he was upset about his lack of early season usage and then about his lack of usage in the Super Bowl. And took some other thinly veiled shots on his way out the door too.
Good riddance Dion. Bill saved your career and then made you a ton of money. Glad you enjoyed it here. Whatever. Running backs are fungible here in New England.
Maybe there is a compromise with Guerrero to make everyone happy this coming season. Maybe Bill also tones the act down a bit for the current crop of players, I don’t know. But the way I see it, if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Keep doing what you are doing Bill…keep winning those games and most of us could care less about these whiny ballplayers…
Welp, I was going to talk a bit about the draft here but got a little carried away. I’ll add some thoughts on this in another piece…
As promised (threatened?), we will provide a snapshot of the New England Patriots roster as it stands now. Of course, there will be plenty of informative comments following each position group. Define the word “informative” as you may, but I’ll feel good about them anyway.
For the record, we will say where the player came from if they are an addition and where they went if they jumped ship. We will also note if they finished last season on the Patriots injured list (IR) or on the Patriot practice squad (PS). Just cuz I want to be informative, as I said…yup…
Enough of the nonsense, let’s get to it:
Holdovers: Tom Brady, Brian Hoyer
In limbo: None
Comments: Everyone knows that Brady will be 41, Jimmy Football was traded for a bag of footballs and a tackling sled and that Hoyer stinks. Not to mention that Jacoby Brissett was also traded last year for probably something less than Garoppolo. Even though I keep hearing from some talking heads recently that Phillip Dorsett actually had a pretty good year “…when he played…he was actually open a lot, Brady either didn’t see him or just didn’t throw it to him…” Ok, if you say so. In any event…an obvious need at some point…and soon.
I’d take a QB fairly high in the draft. Someone who the team thinks has potential to be that proverbial “next guy”. Not taking one just to take one. Brady (and his wife) were doing some whining on his little Facebook thing and some people took that to maybe mean he doesn’t plan on playing until he’s 125 like he has always said. I don’t buy it. It’ll all work out and he will be around for a while. If they draft a dude now, they will have time to groom him. It’s supposed to be a deep quarterback draft, but what do I know?
And no, I would pass on signing Matt Cassel or Matt Moore or any other Matt that is a veteran stiff…in case you were wondering.
Bottom line? Still in pretty good shape here, wouldn’t you say?
Holdovers: Rex Burkhead (re-signed), James Develin (FB), Mike Gillislee, James White
Arrivals: Jeremy Hill (Cincinnati)
Departures: Dion Lewis (Tennessee)
In limbo: None
Comments: We talked enough about Lewis yesterday. Hill has regressed from his fantastic rookie year in 2014 for the Bengals. But from what I understand, the Pats are on the hook for very little if he doesn’t pan out. I feel like Gillislee deserves another shot and I want to see more Rex. I feel ok with this collection…especially in this offense…and especially if they all keep Brandon Bolden off of the field. Moving on…
Holdovers: Kenny Britt, Brandin Cooks, Phillip Dorsett, Julian Edelman (IR), Chris Hogan, Cody Hollister (PS), Riley McCarron (PS), Malcolm Mitchell (IR)
Arrivals: Cordarrelle Patterson (Oakland)
Departures: Danny Amendola (Miami), Bernard Reedy (released)
In limbo: None
Comments: I’m not going to deny they will miss Amendola to some degree, especially when the chips are down. But again, we went through all that yesterday. I will also add that I am not sure that throwing multiple mediocre bodies at the end of the depth chart will help that cause. But that’s me.
If the depth chart shows Cooks, Edelman, Hogan and Mitchell, assuming good health of course (a BIG assumption), do we really need Britt, Dorsett or Patterson? Plus, McCarron has been getting a lot of love recently. How many receivers can you carry? What exactly are the first three bringing you anyway…especially if they are the 5th receiver on the depth chart?
That’s just it I suppose…depth. Who knows where Edelman and Mitchell will be health-wise going forward? I know, there appears to be little risk with the aforementioned three veterans, financially or otherwise. And I know, Patterson is a dynamic kick returner. Though I will agree with the talk radio chatter on Monday where it was pointed out that kick returns are a very small part of the game these days.
I have no inside info on the situation. But I have a feeling there may be another shoe to drop here before camp opens. There has been some smoke revolving around Cooks’ status for a couple of weeks now. Cooks was up and down last year and my feeling is that he will improve in his second year in the system. And none of those three vets mentioned appear to have the ability of Cooks. But I suppose you never know…
Holdovers: Dwayne Allen, Rob Gronkowski (we think?), Jacob Hollister, Will Tye (PS)
Departures: Martellus Bennett (IR, released)
In limbo: None
Comments: I do believe we have to take Gronks’ retirement “threats” seriously. Despite being a monster, he has taken quite a beating over his NFL career. And despite all the back surgeries, there is no doubt that the back will always hang over his head at least a little. I’m betting that throwing a little money at him will get him back into the fold mentally though. Isn’t that always the case?
Speaking of money, I am absolutely stunned that Allen is still here. 5 mil against the cap next season. Was he that good a blocker? Is he just hanging around in case Gronk does retire? I don’t see it. That’s money better spent elsewhere. I know Hollister and Tye aren’t appealing backup options if Allen departs. But there has to be someone else out there that is.
Let’s make Gronk happy and find a young tight end somewhere. Not an extremely pressing area of need (unless Gronk walks of course), but definitely a position to keep an eye on.
Holdovers: David Andrews (C), Marcus Cannon (T), Cole Croston (T), James Ferentz (C, PS), Antonio Garcia (T, IR), Andrew Jelks (T, IR), Ted Karras (G/C), Jason King (G, PS), Shaq Mason (G), Joe Thuney (G)
Arrivals: Matt Tobin (T) (Seattle)
Departures: Nate Solder (T) (New York Giants)
In limbo: Cameron Fleming (T), LaAdrian Waddle (T)
Comments: We ranted on Solder yesterday and I’m done talking about it. The other four members of the line return. It’s a solid, if unspectacular, group. So obviously the focus is on finding a new left tackle. And once again, I am not going to get worked up about it. Dante Scarnecchia and the team should be able to figure it out. Maybe it’s one of these guys above. Maybe it’s a draft pick. Maybe it’s someone released over the summer or early in camp. Who knows? Maybe I am being naive (or just plain stupid), but I am simply not concerned about it.
People are also seemingly terrified of losing Waddle and/or Fleming. Seriously? These guys were released in recent years. Now they are all of a sudden irreplaceable? Mystifying.
These guys are going to be alright next season without Solder. I feel like that isn’t even going out on much of a limb, to be honest…
Next: The Defense.