…for ANY significant move by the Boston Bruins this summer.
Wait, why the hell are we talking about the Bruins in August?
The Red Sox are done…and we’ve covered them more than enough based on that fact alone. The Celtics have done absolutely nothing of note since we last wrote about them about a month ago. We chatted about the Patriots last week, but what more is to say about a team one week into the preseason schedule? Nothing. Well, Danny Etling just got released. Guess he isn’t the next Julian Edelman. Whatever…
And if you want me to comment on Tom Brady’s contract “extension” then you came to the wrong place. Go hit the local radio airwaves if you want non-stop chatter about that. Who cares if he is selling his house? Furthermore, do people realize that going into next season Brady will be 43 YEARS OLD?!
Listen, the guy is a legend and likely the greatest NFL player of all time. But if you are asking me to worry about a 43-year-old QB, you came to the wrong place. I love the guy as much as anyone. But we really don’t know how much he has left. He could plummet as soon as this year. After all, Bill Belichick has seemingly “loaded up” on the running game, defense and has like 10 mediocre (ie: “blocking”) tight ends in camp now. Oh, and not many receivers either. Looks like he may be thinking ahead about Brady regressing, no?
In any event, SHOULDN’T you go “year to year” with a guy like that? Yup. And if he is pissed, well, I am sorry. He could’ve battled the Pats harder over the years to get more money if that is the underlying issue. And maybe he absolutely should have. But since he didn’t, why are we talking about it now?
Some of the greats finished their careers on other teams. Maybe Brady does too. I really don’t think he will be going anywhere. Highly doubt it. But I am not sure the topic is even worth discussing at this point. Let’s see how this season plays out at age 42 and then take it from there.
Ugh…I know, I just got caught up in it…
As for the B’s…well, despite the run to Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals last season, as far as I am concerned, there is a great reason to be well, concerned.
I will tell you. Did you think otherwise??!!
Here’s the first reason(s): Maxime Lagace, Brendan Gaunce, Brett Ritchie, Par Lindholm, Pavel Shen…
These guys are the free agents brought in by the team since the start of the signing period.
You may be like, “well, they only lost Noel Acciari (replaceable) and Marcus Johansson (oft-injured and expensive)”, so they are basically bringing the whole team back that came within a game of winning the whole thing!”
And I will retort, “it was a huge f’ng mistake to bring back basically the entire team after actual championships for the 2019 Boston Red Sox and 2012 Boston Bruins, did we forget?? Complacency, fatigue, all that crap??”
But that isn’t even the biggest issue.
The B’s still have 2 kind of huge restricted free agents sitting out there in Charlie McAvoy and Brandon Carlo.
Ok, nevermind. The re-signing of Steven Kampfer and Connor Clifton should offset that.
HAHAHAHAHAHA…just kidding my friends!!
I’m still not even sure why they re-signed Kampfer. To a TWO year deal, to boot. Assuming the two aforementioned d-men come back in the fold, Kampfer will then be at least the eighth defenseman. Well, I guess ninth, now that they re-signed Clifton too? Then they have some kids in Providence that seem to be on the cusp of the NHL, such as Urho Vaakanainen? Maybe Jeremy Lauzon too, but perhaps not Jakub Zboril…
I don’t get it.
Maybe that means they are dangling some of the “top seven”? McAvoy, I would doubt. Carlo too. No one wants John Moore’s contract. Or Kevan Millar’s injury history. Someone would take Zdeno Chara, despite his age, but he is going nowhere. Matty Grzelcyk? Sure. But what happens if Torey Krug leaves after the upcoming season as a free agent? Gryz may be a natural replacement…and far cheaper.
Trade Krug before he walks away for nothing? Something I would strongly consider. But all indications are that the team has no interest in that. And Krug wants to be here. So maybe he signs a “team-friendly” extension at some point.
There are a lot of capable D-men signed. And let’s face it, Carlo and McAvoy will eventually sign as well. Their options seem to be kind of limited. I just read where Chaz can’t even sign an offer sheet with anyone. Had no idea about that. In any event, it’s nice to have depth. But 10-11 deep? I don’t know. And please don’t give me, “well they used 12 defensemen last year…” That has to be an aberration. Plus, Urho and Zboril only played 2 games apiece, so really it was 10.
All that being said, they can keep all these D-men if they want. It won’t hurt them, no question.
In net, expect a regression from Tuukka Rask. Bet on it. But at least he and Jaroslav Halak should form a pretty good one-two punch in goal…at least for the regular season.
Me? This would appear to be a GREAT time to trade Tuuks (would be even better if the Bruins won the Cup, but alas…). But we already know that ain’t happening.
Forwards? Ugh…this is where the issues lie.
As noted above, the B’s signed a bunch of 4th liners/Providence type dudes. Not scintillating to any degree.
Oh, and they made sure they gave Danton Heinen 2.8 per for the next 2 years. Why? You got me. They love the guy though. I guess he plays awesome defense. Because he is less than mediocre on offense. At least last year he was…and he got some run on the Patrice Bergeron/Brad Marchand line. Not good.
So we still have that Bergy/Marchy/David Pastrnak line. All well and good.
But here we go with the second line issues again. David Krejci centering Jake DeBrusk and…who? I guess the leader in the clubhouse would have to be Karson Kuhlman. Kid showed some flashes. But are we ready to anoint him?
I think we can assume Charlie Coyle and Danton Heinen make up 2/3 of the 3rd line. With Sean Kuraly, Chris Wagner and Joakim Nordstrom starting out as the 4th line. In my eyes anyway.
So who gets that last spot on the third line?
Would you believe David Backes and his 6 mil per year are still around? I am absolutely astonished at this fact. He should have been bought out the first day that was possible. At this point, is a buyout still even an option? The front office has led us to believe that he will not be bought out. Why is this?
So Backes HAS to get that spot, no? What, are they going to waive him (of course he will clear) and send him to Providence? Healthy scratch every night? No and no.
This absolutely pains me. I understand that General Manager Don Sweeney probably doesn’t want to eat 3 mil the next two years against the cap (half of Backes’ salary, which is what I think would be the case on the buyout…but maybe I’m wrong). And I get it, as they already have a smidge over 3 mil in dead cap money for the upcoming season tied to former greats Matt Beleskey and Dennis Seidenberg. Actually, Seids was pretty good. I just thought this wording was smooth! And Beleskey did suck badly. Anyway…
Then all these other guys apparently are out of luck. Ritchie, Lindholm, Shen, Anders Bjork, Peter Cehlarik, Trent Frederic, blah, blah, blah…I guess we don’t really care unless Bjork or Cehlarik or a guy like Jake Studnicka (a new “name” that has picked up some steam recently) can, you know, actually play.
I don’t know man…I would have loved to have seen a little turnover in the forward group. A little more turnover overall actually. There is limited cap room to sign McAvoy and Carlo. Not only should Backes be gone, but one would figure there would be other trades to free up room.
But nothing…yet. And I don’t feel like that other proverbial “shoe to drop” is going to happen. I was absolutely convinced it would in June. Doesn’t seem that way now.
It has been eerily quiet over there, however. Does that mean that this could be a calm before the storm? I truly do not think so. But something has to give with those two D-men needing to re-up.
There is still some offseason left. I won’t completely lambaste the front office at this point. But it’s clear I am leaning that way.
Hope I’m wrong. Goes without saying, I guess…
So, that London series was fun, eh?!
29 runs given up, 21 by that vaunted bullpen that we’ve already covered ad nauseam…sweet. Well, the Boston Red Sox DID score 21 themselves. Of course, after they got down big in both games. Then couldn’t get a key hit to actually come all the way back in either.
Where does this leave the team? I say it’s time to sell off parts.
84 games in and now 11 games behind the division leading New York Yankees. Sure, they are only 2 games out of the second wild card (4 out of the top spot). But does this feel like a team that can make some noise come playoff time?
No F’n way. Not to me anyway. And I think to most of us.
We are not even at the All-Star break quite yet, why am I so ready to throw in the towel?
It’s pretty easy to understand actually. I mean, you have seen how listless they have appeared for most of the year, right?
The players (and the manager, and the front office, and the rest of the organization…) will undoubtedly blame the long 2018 season for the way they came out of the gate for this current season…and how they have kind of sleepwalked since then. And maybe that is a factor…though it really should be a small one.
The Red Sox brought 21 of the 25 guys back who were on the World Series roster last season. And one of the departed, Drew Pomeranz, doesn’t even count since he didn’t even pitch for several weeks down the stretch, including the playoffs. Ian Kinsler, Joe Kelly and Craig Kimbrel were essentially the only departures. Most of the guys on the current roster were here last year as well, although not active for the World Series, or the playoffs for that matter. But here nonetheless.
Really, when you think about it, the only two players that have played more than a minor role on this years’ team that was not involved in any way last year at all are Michael Chavis and Colton Brewer. I’ll give you Marcus Walden too if you like. Since he pitched a few innings early in the year and then was never to be heard from again.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: that is not enough player turnover. You need new blood every year, but especially after winning it all. Keeps the fire burning and everyone is presumably still hungry.
Add this to the fact that Manager Alex Cora simply did not have the team ready to go right out of Spring Training, another colossal mistake. “We did the same thing last year…” he liked to say in April. Welp, every year is different, so they need to be treated differently. Even I know that.
With this, the wretched bullpen that is like FOUR arms away from being useful, four arms that aren’t anywhere near the organization at this time and everything else, my recommendation is that they make some deals at the trade deadline. Sending guys out that is.
The team has already made it clear that they do not want to go over the luxury tax limit. So where are they going to acquire good bullpen arms, to start? They have no real prospects to give up, ones that other teams want anyway. So how do they fix things?
Since the farm system is so barren, maybe it’s time to see what some of these players can get you? Granted, most of these guys won’t fetch much. But you never know.
There is one trade deadline this year, on July 31st. No more “waiver” deadline on August 31st. Is this a good thing? I don’t know. At first blush, I say no. Some decent deals can happen in August. There are two full months to go after the deadline as it stands this year. That is a long time. Still a lot of clubs that think they have a chance. That number dwindles in August and makes things ripe for more deals. I don’t think I like it, but let’s see how it plays out this first year in existence.
So if the Sox are going to make moves, they have to happen sooner rather than later. And, as stated above, how can one be confident in this team as currently constituted going forward?
Not to mention that stretch in late July/early August with the 14 games in 15 days against only the Yanks and Tampa Bay. 8 of them against the Yankees, what is that 2-6 maybe?
So this will never happen at all, I will guarantee it. The Sox have spent too much money and there is too much talent on the roster for the organization to wave the white flag. They all will think they can turn that proverbial switch when it matters too. But let’s take a quick look below at specific things I would do, or at least consider doing, before July 31st, by positional group:
Catcher: No need to do anything here. Christian Vazquez and Sandy Leon are good enough. But maybe they can get Blake Swihart back? (I may never give this up!). Although Blake has been even more atrocious in Arizona than he was in Boston. That’s what happens when you play once every 10-15 days or so I guess.
Infield: Mitch Moreland and Steven Pearce seemed like a GREAT idea to platoon at first base for the 2019 season when it started. Unfortunately, it hasn’t exactly worked out that way. Both of these contracts will expire at seasons end and it seems that Chavis has kind of locked in that first base role at this point anyway. If healthy, both Moreland and Pearce can provide some value to a (real) contending team. They won’t fetch a ton, but it should be considered.
Brock Holt and Eduardo Nunez also are up at the end of the season. These guys won’t get you anything so I guess I probably wouldn’t bother. I don’t think I don’t want either of these dudes back next year, so maybe they can explore it. I’d actually take Holt back, but he may be up for a decent raise…and he can never stay healthy either. And I don’t want to see him every day at second base next year anyway.
Outfield: Here’s the big one. To start, let’s ship Jackie Bradley Jr. out of town as soon as possible. He hit .315 with 5 homers and 14 RBIs in June. .992 OPS. There is his hot month. He is making 8.5 mil this year, with one more year of arbitration next year. Probably get 10-12 mil or so. For 5 bad months and one good one. Let’s sell high now and hope some team is dumb enough to give them something good for him.
The elephant in the room? Mookie Betts. I am not in favor of moving him just to move him. But if he is really not going to sign here long term, then the reality is the Sox need to shop him. I have no idea if he wants to re-sign here. But it sure as hell doesn’t feel like it. And that is the popular opinion. The Red Sox HAVE to know how he feels, way better then Joe Fan does. If he is truly a flight risk, the Sox need to take action. Don’t be rash, but it has to be a real option. Although I will take a proven Major League player over prospects 100 times out of a 100, this may be an opportunity to do some replenishing on the farm.
J.D. Martinez has to be a consideration to move too. I believe there is a pretty good chance he opts out after this year and tries to secure that one last guaranteed contract…for more than he is supposed to get the next three years. Again, the team has to have a better idea of his feelings on opting in or out after the season. If the sense is that he will opt out, trades would have to be explored here.
Pitching staff: I don’t have the stomach to split out the bullpen and no one wants any of those guys anyway. The one starter that should have some value is Rick Porcello. Seeing he’s up after this year and the signing of Nathan Eovaldi basically ensured the Sox wouldn’t re-sign him, Porcello should be shopped. Sure, he’s not the “Cy Young Rick Porcello” this season, but he can eat innings and contribute to a contender. No doubt about it.
Once again, none of this will happen. Then the Sox will squeak into the playoffs and lose in the first round.
But think about it, even if the Sox were able to unload most of the players with expiring contracts (or close to it) talked about above, they would still have a nice core of Xander Bogaerts, Rafael Devers, Andrew Benintendi, Chris Sale, David Price, Eovaldi, Eduardo Rodriguez (I guess), Vazquez, Chavis and I suppose a couple of bullpen arms that can work the 6th and 7th. Maybe some decent major league players coming back in trades. Perhaps a top (real) prospect or three. And all of a sudden some money to spend, being not right up against the luxury tax anyway.
A World Series winning team? Unlikely. But making the best of a bad situation? Perhaps…It COULD be an interesting few weeks for the Red Sox. If they want it to be…
Now, the bats. As with the pitchers, we will cover everyone who has appeared in a Boston Red Sox Spring Training game. This should be a lot of fun, as not only are their 50 players that have been on the diamond in a game thus far, there’s a handful of dudes that I’ve never even heard of. Let’s get to it!
Realistic additional competitors for the Opening Day roster: Christian Vazquez, Sandy Leon, Blake Swihart
Actual prospects on their way to the minors: Roldani Baldwin (#29)
Additional flotsam also ticketed for the minors: Juan Centeno, Oscar Hernandez, Austin Rei, Jake Romanski, Jhon Nunez
Comments: Not as easy as last year, now that Swihart is “officially” a catcher again. None of the three guys that were around all of last year can be considered locks, I don’t feel. Why? The Red Sox have supposedly decided that carrying 3 catchers this season is not ideal. So one has to go. Who?
Vazquez signed a fairly big extension prior to last season. Then he promptly went out and underperformed during the season. He would seem to be the #1 guy, based on the combination of decent enough offense and damn good defense. But now that may be in question.
If you ask the pitchers, Leon would be the guy. Great “game caller” and also great defensively. But he simply cannot hit a lick.
Swihart still has the most upside. Better bat than the other two. Worst of the three defensively, though the team has said in recent months that he has made tremendous strides.
It would seem that Swihart, just about to turn 27, would have the most trade value. But how much actually is that nowadays. Vazquez may have some value, but I would bet the organization wants him to assert himself in the #1 role…especially since he has the biggest contract. I know, his price is not even close to exorbitant. But for him, it may be.
My guess is they keep the defensive-minded guys and trade Swihart for a fraction of what they could have traded him for a few years back. But it’s anyone’s guess as to what actually happens.
Centeno and Hernandez seem to be on track to be the Pawtucket tandem. The 4 other guys have 10 at-bats between them this spring, so I am not sure we will ever have to worry about them.
Locks: Xander Bogaerts (SS), Rafael Devers (3B), Brock Holt (INF/OF), Mitch Moreland (1B), Eduardo Nunez (INF), Steve Pearce (1B), Dustin Pedroia (2B),
DL: Marco Hernandez (INF)
Realistic additional competitors for the Opening Day roster: None
Actual prospects on their way to the minors: Michael Chavis (3B-#1), Bobby Dalbec (3B-#3), C.J. Chatham (SS-#9), Josh Ockimey (1B-#25), Pedro Castellanos (1B-#26)
Additional flotsam also ticketed for the minors: Tzu-Wei Lin (INF), Sam Travis (1B), Tony Renda (INF), Chad De La Guerra (INF), Mike Miller (INF), Jantzen Witte (3B), Jeremy Rivera (SS), Brett Netzer (2B), Josh Tobias (3B)
Comments: Heavy part of the roster here. But pretty cut and dried, to be honest. Moreland and Pearce platoon at first, X and Raffy on the left side most of the time. That leaves second base.
Pedroia probably thinks he can play every day. And will likely try to talk his way into doing just that. But it remains to be seen if he can even play ANY of the games. That knee is troublesome, that is no secret. And who knows if the rehab he did this winter even worked? He’s started playing a little this spring, but we will see.
Holt looks to take most of the starts at second when Pedey can’t play. Maybe Nunez too, but he stinks at second. Nunez will likely play a little third against tough lefties in place of Devers, at least that’s what I would do. Actually, I wouldn’t have given Nunez a 2 year contract last offseason, but at 5 mil, it obviously doesn’t kill them. Holt will also play a little outfield I imagine. So Holt and Nunez will get decent at-bats whether we like it or not.
Chavis is the teams’ top prospect, kind of a scary proposition. Why? He wasn’t very good his first three years in the lower minors, then hit 31 homers in 2017 after apparently finding the juice. Which caused his half-year suspension in 2018. He hit well upon his return and hit 4 homers pretty early this spring, so maybe he found the juice again. But…maybe he gets caught again. Not ruling anything out. In any event, if he hits this year and doesn’t get pinched, he could be the Sox’ regular 1B in 2020 once the contracts of the current platoon pair expire. And that should mean he gets major league AB’s this season.
We know who won’t be the Sox’ regular first basemen in 2020. Sammy Travis. Looks like the ship has sailed on that former “top prospect”. But Lin is still on the fringe. The team is working him all over the field, apparently trying to make him “Brock Holt Lite”. If that excites you.
I love Tony Renda’s Red Sox career. He was up for like a week or 10 days last summer. Scored the winning run in a Sunday Night game against the Yankees as a pinch runner. Then disappeared for the rest of the year. No other appearances before or after that one. If history repeats itself, Renda will get a World Series ring. Beautiful, no?
The rest of the prospects are too far away and the rest of the random bodies will not likely appear at Fenway this season, so I at least hope they are all enjoying the spring.
Locks: Andrew Benintendi (LF), Mookie Betts (RF), Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF), J.D. Martinez (DH)
Realistic additional competitors for the Opening Day roster: Gorkys Hernandez
Actual prospects on their way to the minors: Jarren Duran (#10)
Additional flotsam also ticketed for the minors: Rusney Castillo, Bryce Brentz, Cole Sturgeon, Tate Matheny, Danny Mars, Cole Brannen, Jagger Rusconi, Marino Campana, Tyler Esplin, Chris Madera, Joseph Monge, Kervin Suarez, Jordan Wren, Keith Curcio
Comments: Nothing to see here. Could be the best outfield in baseball. Defensively for sure anyway. Oh, did you hear that Bradley worked with a swing coach this offseason? We will see how that works out, but I am not expecting miracles. Better yet, where was this swing coach over the past several years? I would have traded JBJ after his All-Star year, as has been noted previously (probably a thousand times), but I wonder what will happen going forward? Lots of contracts up over the next two years. I can’t imagine JBJ will be anywhere in line for a lucrative extension.
Speaking of extensions, Mookie! No indication he will sign one. But I hope they are trying. Bryce Harper only got like 26 mil a year. Mookie will want more than that. But the question continues to be unanswered: Does he even want to be here long term? No one even knows.
J.D. can opt out after this year. No one knows if that will happen either. With the top guys waiting into Spring Training the last two years and not necessarily getting the dough that people thought they would, maybe he doesn’t take a chance by opting out. Especially since he is basically a designated hitter. Sure, he is listed here as an outfielder. But I didn’t want to do a whole ‘nutha section for one DH. And sure, he will see starts in the outfield to appease him a bit. But no team actually views him as one.
Gorkys may get that last spot if the Sox are serious about not carrying three catchers. He seems to be the likely choice. We know it won’t be Rusney. I’ve said that he deserves another shot. You know, since he’s making like 11 mil down in Pawtucket and has played well down there. But there were opportunities for him to come up and contribute last season. And never a sniff.
Bryce Brentz is back!! We more than likely won’t see him in Boston again though. If anyone cares. Cole Sturgeon is a name I recognize every year in Spring Training. Seems like he is 35 years old. But alas, he is only 27. And that 3-20 this year won’t help him at all. Matheny is the son of former big leaguer (and also former St. Louis manager) Mike Matheny. But that’s about all I really can say about him.
Nothing much to add about the rest of that list. I am not even sure I would add anything even if I knew who most of them actually are.
That about sums things up. Most of the team returns from last year. Not necessarily a good thing to have little turnover. Not necessarily a good thing to have a bullpen that looks like it does. But it’s a long season folks. And it should be a successful one at that. But another World Series win? I’m not betting on that…