A little late on this and since things are happening as we speak, we’d better get cracking!!
Locks: Tom Brady, Jarrett Stidham
In: Brian Hoyer
Way Out: None
Comments: I’d personally cut Hoyer. Even if Stidham isn’t completely ready, it’s not like the Pats are winning a Super Bowl with Hoyer if Brady goes down. Besides, couldn’t you get him, or someone like him, off the streets if something catastrophic happens to Brady? I think so. But alas, the Pats won’t do it…I don’t feel like it anyway.
Locks: Sony Michel, James White, Rex Burkhead, Damien Harris, James Develin (FB)
Out: Jakob Johnson (FB)
Way Out: Nick Brossette
Practice Squad: Johnson
Comments: Pretty easy here. Burkhead didn’t sniff the field last night, so I imagine he gets back up to the “lock” category. Johnson won’t count against the 10-man practice squad limit as an international signing. Plus, he played some linebacker last night. So he will ultimately stick in this capacity.
Locks: Julian Edelman, Josh Gordon, Demaryius Thomas, N’Keal Harry, Phillip Dorsett
In: Jakobi Meyers
Out: Braxton Berrios, Gunner Olszewski
Way Out: Damoun Patterson, Ryan Davis
PUP: Cameron Meredith
Practice Squad: Berrios, Olszewski
Comments: Big change from the last projection. Didn’t think Gordon and Thomas would be there for Game 1 with their respective situations. And with Dorsett not playing last night, that pretty much makes him a lock. Meyers probably did enough this preseason that he won’t slip through waivers to the practice squad. Berrios has been all hype, no results for 2 preseasons now. Gunner is a nice story, but there is no room. He should be able to work on his skills on the practice squad. Played cornerback in college and found himself there in the second half last night. So he could be one of those jack of all trade guys to reach down and get as needed. Big fall for Maurice Harris as well. Big time hype all offseason and into the preseason games, disappointed a bit on the field, got hurt and was released a week or so ago.
In: Matt LaCosse, Ryan Izzo
Out: Stephen Anderson, Eric Saubert, Andrew Beck
Way Out: None
Suspended: Benjamin Watson (4 games), Lance Kendricks (1 game)
Practice Squad: Beck
Comments: LaCosse hasn’t played much, but again…the contract. Izzo didn’t play last night, so that tells me he is in. I’m not sure Anderson has practice squad eligibility, but if he does he could end up there. Beck can play fullback apparently, so that may get him on the p-squad himself.
Locks: Isaiah Wynn (LT), Joe Thuney (LG), Ted Karras (C), Shaq Mason (RG), Marcus Cannon (RT),
In: Korey Cunningham (T), Jermaine Eluemunor (G), Russell Bodine (C)
Out: James Ferentz (C), Dan Skipper (T), Cole Croston (T)
Way Out: Tyler Gauthier (C), Martez Ivey (T), Cedrick Lang (T), Tyree St. Louis (T)
IR: David Andrews (C), Hjalte Froholdt (G)
NFI: Yodny Cajuste (T)
Practice Squad: Skipper, Croston, Ferentz
Comments: Huge changes here as well since the last projection. Bill apparently saw enough of Skipper, Croston and Ferentz this preseason to realize they are not the answer to anything. Combined with the unexpected and unfortunate medical situation of Andrews, the Pats made trades for the three offensive linemen in the “in” category. The compensation given up would seem to indicate they all make the squad despite not really seeing them play. We noticed Froholdt a little bit this preseason, not necessarily a good thing for an O-Lineman. So his injury last night would seem to have come at a fortuitous time for both he and the team.
Locks: Michael Bennett, John Simon, Chase Winovich
In: Deatrich Wise
Way Out: Nick Thurman
IR: Derek Rivers, Keionta Davis
Comments: A lot of talk about Wise not making the cut. And his inclusion in the game yesterday may not be a good sign. But he has some talent, so I am not sure he gets tossed aside so easily. Rivers is hurt…again…and that may buy him another year. But there is the possibility the Pats just cut bait and let him have a fresh start elsewhere. I thought the Pats released Davis, but he shows up on their roster as being on injured reserve, so there’s that.
Locks: Lawrence Guy, Adam Butler, Danny Shelton
In: Byron Cowart
Out: Ufomba Kamalu, David Parry, Trent Harris
Way Out: None
Practice Squad: Harris
Comments: Shelton was such a non-factor last season that it was kind of a shock he was eventually re-signed. It will be an even bigger shock when he makes the team. Both he and Cowart apparently played their way on to the team this preseason, making arguably the Patriots’ biggest free agent signing, Mike Pennel, expendable and released already like a week ago.
Locks: Dont’a Hightower, Kyle Van Noy, Jamie Collins, Ja’Whaun Bentley, Elandon Roberts
Out: Calvin Munson, Christian Sam, Scooby Wright
Way Out: Terez Hall
IR: Shilique Calhoun
Practice Squad: Munson
Comments: Some big buzz around Munson, but I don’t see it. Yeah, I suppose it is as a special teamer, to replace a guy like Brandon King. But my sense is he could go through easily to the practice squad and you could go get him when you really need him.
Locks: Stephon Gilmore, J.C. Jackson, Jonathan Jones, Jason McCourty, Joejuan Williams
In: Keion Crossen
Out: Ken Webster
Way Out: None
IR: D’Angelo Ross
Traded: Duke Dawson
Practice squad: Webster
Comments: Rapid fall for Dawson. Second round pick last year then got hurt and missed most of the year. When he got healthy, he couldn’t crack the active roster. Then the Pats took Williams in the second round this year and all of a sudden he gets dealt for like 20 cents on the dollar today to Denver. Ouch. At least they got something. Crossen has been a mixed bag defensively this preseason, but they also like him on special teams. And you know how Bill feels about his special teamers.
Locks: Devin McCourty, Patrick Chung, Duron Harmon, Terrance Brooks
Out: Obi Melifonwu
Way Out: A.J. Howard
IR: Malik Gant
Practice Squad: Melifonwu
Comments: Moved Brooks to safety in this projection. That is his primary position, but it seems the team will spot him at safety some too. Gant got carted off last night, so he gets to go on IR instead of the street. Chung’s legal issues won’t likely affect him this year. Not sure if Obi is eligible for the P-squad but if he is, I think he will be there…unless he is claimed by another team of course.
Locks: Stephen Gostkowski (K), Jake Bailey (P), Joe Cardona (LS), Matthew Slater (ST), Nate Ebner (ST), Brandon Bolden (ST)
Way Out: None
IR: Brandon King
Comments: Not much to say here. We already knew Bailey beat out incumbent Ryan Allen. We will always have last years’ Super Bowl Ryan!!
Lots of moving pieces still to come. But this is where I see it for now.
Let’s get right to it:
Locks: Tom Brady, Brian Hoyer
Out: Danny Etling
Way Out: None
Comments: Welp, Etling didn’t throw for 600 yards in the finale. Not only that, but it looks like he stinks. But it could be also that his receivers stink too. Maybe they should have drafted the kid the Giants took, Kyle Lauletta, who was linked to the Pats all spring. Whatever…it was a helluva an 86 yard run by Etling at the end of the game though. We know Brady ain’t doing that this year.
Locks: Rex Burkhead, James White, Sony Michel, James Develin
In: Jeremy Hill, Mike Gillislee
Out: Ralph Webb
Way Out: Henry Poggi, Kenneth Farrow, Khalfani Muhammed
Comments: Hill is probably a lock actually. Gillislee did not play in the preseason finale. Combine that with the uncertain health of Burkhead and Michel and I think he gets on the squad to start the year. Farrow and Muhammed were signed a couple of days ago…it was nice of the Pats to do that.
Locks: Chris Hogan, Phillip Dorsett, Cordarrelle Patterson
In: Riley McCarron
Out: Devin Lucien
Way Out: Paul Turner, K.J. Maye
Suspended: Julian Edelman
Injured Reserve: Braxton Berrios
Comments: As I said in the last projection, it wouldn’t surprise me to see McCarron stick. And the fact that he didn’t play in last night’s game tells me he makes it…at least at the start. Maye was signed a few days ago as well. Good to see him again, as he was with the Pats in the preseason last year. And I will say that I was shocked as sh&t to find out that Turner actually has some NFL experience from 2016. But that shouldn’t help him here.
Locks: Rob Gronkowski, Dwayne Allen
In: Jacob Hollister
Out: Will Tye
Way Out: None
Injured Reserve: Ryan Izzo
Comments: Allen’s recent pay adjustment locks him in. Hollister has been chatted up frequently, so I guess he is in. But maybe his injury keeps him off.
Locks: Trent Brown (LT), Joe Thuney (LG), David Andrews (C), Shaq Mason (RG), Marcus Cannon (RT), LaAdrian Waddle (T)
In: Ted Karras (G/C), Cole Croston (T)
Out: Matt Tobin (T), Luke Bowanko (C/G), James Ferentz (C), Jason King (G), Ulrick John (T)
Way Out: Brian Schwenke (C)
Injured Reserve: Isaiah Wynn (T/G)
Comments: John was getting some love, but he limped off last night and who knows how serious his injury is. Bowanko is also hurt. The top 6 are locked in, but you can pick whoever you want as the 2-3 backups and honestly, I couldn’t tell you who is better than who. Should I be able to? I don’t know. But can you?
Locks: Trey Flowers, Adrian Clayborn, Derek Rivers, Deatrich Wise
In: Keionta Davis
Out: Eric Lee
Way Out: Frank Herron
Comments: I’m keeping Davis on, despite some questions during the telecast about him not making enough plays against backups in the preseason. Just a hunch.
Locks: Malcom Brown, Lawrence Guy, Danny Shelton
In: Adam Butler
Out: Vincent Valentine
Way Out: John Atkins, Trent Harris
Comments: Still would like to find room for Valentine. But maybe they think that they can slip him through to the practice squad, seeing that he missed all of last year.
Locks: Dont’a Hightower, Kyle Van Noy, Ja’Whaun Bentley, Elandon Roberts
Out: Marquis Flowers, Christian Sam
Way Out: None
Injured Reserve: Harvey Langhi
Comments: First three are no-brainers. Roberts didn’t play in the finale, so, unfortunately, it looks like he is a lock too. Sam apparently wasn’t dressed last night, so maybe he is hurt and he ends up on IR? Flowers is brutal, but he is a “core special teamer”, who actually also, very, unfortunately, does play some linebacker too. He’s out for now, but my guess is that he’s a guy they can cut, not get claimed and be back for Week 1. Maybe not, but he played a ton in the last preseason game. That’s usually not a good sign. And I think his 1.75 mil salary is waaaaaaaaaaaaaay too high. There’s some room for him to come down there. Taking a stab here…
Locks: Stephon Gilmore, Eric Rowe, Jonathan Jones, Duke Dawson
In: Cyrus Jones, J.C. Jackson
Out: Jason McCourty, Ryan Lewis, Keion Crossen
Way Out: Jomal Wiltz
Comments: No changes here. McCourty is a guy that they could cut and re-sign in Week 2. And he was playing a little safety in the preseason finale. Maybe that’s a long-term thing. But doesn’t help him for Saturday. Crossen still has a shot to make the squad, at least temporarily. But I think that may be a stretch at this point.
Locks: Devin McCourty, Patrick Chung, Duron Harmon
In: Jordan Richards
Out: Damarius Travis
Way Out: A.J. Moore
Comments: If Jason McCourty could ever supplant Richards, I’d love it. But I don’t see it.
Locks: Stephen Gostkowski (K), Ryan Allen (P), Joe Cardona (LS), Matthew Slater (ST), Nate Ebner (ST), Brandon King (ST), Nicholas Grigsby (ST)
Out: Brandon Bolden (ST), Geneo Grissom (ST)
Way Out: Corey Bojorquez (P)
Comments: “Bojo” couldn’t even punt in the last meaningless preseason game. I think they play the same game with Bolden this year as they did last year…cut him for 2 days, keep a kid longer so they can sneak him on the practice squad when other teams have their rosters set, then he’s back in uniform before Week 1.
Final comment: There will be some bottom of the roster movement, cuts and re-signings and all. We know that. But we also know that there will be some trades, probably minor, but still some trades. I will say, I love this time of year!
Practice squad: Etling, Webb, Lucien, Ferentz, Lee, Harris, Valentine, Sam, Lewis and Crossen.