Holiday week speed edition. Merry (belated) Christmas and Happy New Year everyone!!
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-13.5)
We were burned on the spread by the late garbage touchdown by the Bills against the Pats last week. So why would we do it again, with an even higher spread? The Pats need this one, as we know. Though this year, that hasn’t necessarily meant much, I know. But the J-E-T-S will be practicing their golf swings on the sideline. Well, maybe not that. But we do know no one will be listening to their head coach, Todd Bowles, since he will probably be fired right after the game. Perhaps even at halftime. Yes, the Jets played the Packers close last week and actually appeared to be in control of the game at one point. Yes, the Jets would love to knock the Pats out of the second seed and therefore a bye week in the playoffs. Yes, the Jets were competitive with the Pats in their earlier game in New York. Yes, but…no…
New England 31, New York Jets 10.
Jacksonville at Houston (-7.5)
Blake Bortles is back!!
Houston 27, Jacksonville 13.
Miami at Buffalo (-3.5)
Buffalo 17, Miami 13.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay (-1.5)
Tampa’s coach said this week that their third-string quarterback may get some snaps in this game. I don’t remember the guy’s name, even though where I read the quote said the QB had been in the league for like three years. That’s enough for me to take the Falcons…I guess…
Atlanta 24, Tampa Bay 17.
Detroit at Green Bay (-7.5)
Not a great year for the Pack. But an even worse one for our old friend Matty Patricia.
Green Bay 38, Detroit 20.
Carolina at New Orleans Saints (-7.5)
The Saints have locked up the #1 seed. Are they going to play their starters? Sean Payton insists they are. I say, yeah, enough to get Drew Brees the 8 yards he needs for another 4,000 yard season. But I would assume they play for a quarter. The Panthers should easily cover then, right? Well, they are using their third string quarterback in this one. And not to just “get snaps”, but to start. Ssssooooo…my guess is a lot of running and both teams just try to get the hell out of there unscathed.
New Orleans 20, Carolina 13.
Dallas at New York Giants (-7.5)
New York Giants 17, Dallas 13.
Philadelphia (-6.5) at Washington
Philadelphia 27, Washington 17.
Cleveland at Baltimore (-5.5)
The Browns have been scrappy, no doubt. With a win, they finish 8-7-1…whoda thunk that?! But the Ravens have been hot, they need this one and I suspect that their defense shuts down Baker Mayfield and Co.
Baltimore 27, Cleveland 16.
Arizona at Seattle (-8.5)
The Seahawks are the #5 or #6 seed, but do they care? Pete Carroll says they are going to play their starters. Maybe they do, maybe they don’t. But the Cards are truly wretched either way.
Seattle 23, Arizona 6.
Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5) at Denver
Disappointing loss for the Chargers last week at home to the Ravens after the huge win at Kansas City the week before. But LA can still get the #1 seed in the AFC. The Broncos had that dud on Monday night, are banged up and their season is over anyway.
Los Angeles Chargers 31, Denver 18.
Chicago at Minnesota (-5.5)
The Bears still have a shot at a bye. The Vikings are maddeningly inconsistent, though also in control of their playoff destiny. Seems like a close one is in store here.
Minnesota 20, Chicago 17.
Oakland at Kansas City (-14.5)
The Chiefs have come back to earth a bit, but still hold all the cards for the #1 seed in the AFC. The Raiders left it all on the field Monday night when they likely played their last game in Oakland. Should be a runaway for KC.
Kansas City 38, Oakland 20.
San Francisco at Los Angeles Rams (-9.5)
Have to love the 49ers still being competitive down the stretch, despite their season being over weeks ago. But the Rams still need this one to keep the playoff bye. So even if Todd Gurley doesn’t suit up, we are still expecting them to win by double digits.
Los Angeles Rams 34, San Francisco 17.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-14.5)
The Steelers have played their way out of the playoffs (so far) and almost nothing brings me more joy. But a win still gives them a chance. Jeff Driskel appears to be horrendous. And we know what the Bengals are. But to trust Pitt to cover this large of a spread after the way their season has gone seems to be a stretch.
Pittsburgh 28, Cincinnati 17.
Indianapolis at Tennessee (-1.5)
Will Marcus Mariota play or will he not? Seems to be the same question every week. Do you trust Blaine Gabbert? Do you even trust Mariota even if he plays? I know, Derrick Henry has been lighting it up lately. And the Titans have won 4 in a row…though against inferior competition. Indy has won 8 of 9, and beaten a few good teams along the way. The Colts hammered the Titans in Indy 38-10 in their earlier meeting this year. Wouldn’t shock me if this one went the same way, despite being in Tennessee. Side note: It’s been awesome to see Dion Lewis throw up dogcrap numbers after he shot his mouth off following the win against the Pats.
Indianapolis 31, Tennessee 23.
Week (against the spread): 8-8
Week (straight up): 13-3
Season (against the spread): 129-111
Season (straight up): 151-89
Posted on December 28, 2018, in Uncategorized and tagged AFC, Baker Mayfield, Drew Brees, gambling, Marcus Mariota, Matt Patricia, New England Patriots, New York Jets, NFC, NFL picks, Nick Foles, Playoffs, point spreads, seeding, Super Bowl, Todd Bowles, Week Seventeen. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.