Diving right in:
Chicago at Detroit (-5.5)
I wanted to take the Bears in this one. I really did. I don’t believe in the Lions at all. But I’m also not going to get fooled by the Bears’ blowout against the Bengals last week. After 5 straight losses. That result shouldn’t fool anyone. Chicago lost at home to Detroit about a month ago and obviously would like to avenge that loss…while at the same time hurting Detroit’s playoff hopes. I can’t do it though, even if the Lions are banged up on the O-Line.
Detroit 24, Chicago 13.
Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Kansas City
Two teams seemingly headed in different directions in recent weeks. But did the Chiefs get back on track with last weeks win against Oakland? This may go against my better judgement, but I am saying yes…for this week anyway. Sure I was speaking highly of the Chargers last week, who again could be something like 9-4 if they had a kicker. But this week I am pumping the brakes a little bit.
Kansas City 30, Los Angeles Chargers 24.
New York Jets at New Orleans (-15.5)
15.5 is a large number. But two words will make you feel better about taking the Saints: Bryce Petty. That, in and of itself, should be enough. But throw in the fact that the Jets Offensive Coordinator very publicly said he gave up in last week’s game, the Muhammad Wilkerson benching, the Saints’ 5-1 record at home, the Saints having ten days to prepare and New Orleans needing to keep winning because of the tight NFC South division they are in and for the playoff race…well, that’s many more reasons to expect a blowout here.
New Orleans 45, New York Jets 10.
Houston at Jacksonville (-11.5)
11.5 is another large number…especially for an unproven “contender” like the Jaguars. Sure, the Jags did beat Seattle last week. And their D is apparently top-notch. But what does that mean now? Not sure. That being said, looks like the Texans are going with T.J. Yates on Sunday. Once again, this alone should make one feel comfortable about laying the points.
Jacksonville 33, Houston 7.
Philadelphia (-7.5) at New York Giants
The G-Men actually were tied with Dallas about midway through the fourth quarter last Sunday…until the ‘Boys finally snapped out of it and blitzed in 3 touchdowns immediately after that. Will there be some sort of hangover for the Eagles, what with them losing Carson Wentz for the year this past week? Possibly. But it will take much less than three and a half quarters for them to shake it off. The Iggles should still win this one pretty handily, even with Nick Foles at the helm.
Philadelphia 34, New York Giants 14.
Miami at Buffalo (-3.5)
Tyrod Taylor is back. Yaaaaay! In all seriousness though, that is good news with Joe Webb being the only alternative. The ‘Phins looked pretty damn good in beating the Pats Monday night. Or did the Pats just look that bad? I am certainly a total homer, but I think it is more the latter. And Miami only won by 7 in the end, sad considering how it looked like they had total control of the game at all times. In any event, I don’t expect Jay Cutler to put together standout performances two weeks in a row. And although the game in Miami Monday had the temperatures in the 50s…of course cold for Miami…in Buffalo what will it be in Sunday, the 20s? That’s not going to help the Dolphins.
Buffalo 21, Miami 17.
Baltimore (-6.5) at Cleveland
Yup, the Ravens did kind of choke away their game against the Steelers last week. But here they are again in the mix to get into the playoffs, with a pretty easy schedule remaining. The Browns have had chances to win a game this season plenty of times. But I don’t think that’s a realistic option this week. Even if Josh Gordon goes off for 300 yards receiving or something.
Baltimore 27, Cleveland 17.
Cincinnati at Minnesota (-10.5)
The Bengals stink and I don’t even want to talk about them.
Minnesota 31, Cincinnati 9.
Arizona at Washington (-4.5)
A couple of teams playing out the string. The Cards still appear to be competing, and I suppose are still technically alive in the playoff chase…even with the immortal Blaine Gabbert under center. On the flip side, the ‘Skins may have already packed it in. Maybe it’s all the injuries, but it’s been an ugly last couple of games for Washington.
Arizona 20, Washington 17.
Green Bay at Carolina (-2.5)
Aaron Rodgers is back. That’s nice. But does it get them a win against the 9-4 Panthers? Well, they may not get behind consistently, as in the “Brett Hundley era”, where they had to come back late the last couple of weeks to beat bad teams to stay in the playoff chase. But I am not sure it gets them a win. Will Rodgers show some rust? Likely. Maybe he will shake it off quickly, but who knows? Taking the safe route here.
Carolina 27, Green Bay 24.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle (-1.5)
Second tough one in a row for the Rams, after losing a tight one to the Eagles last week. Now they have to go to Seattle to face a team that already beat them in LA earlier this year. If the Seahawks do win, they take over first place and, based on whatever else happens by the end of the weekend, could actually knock the Rams out of the top 6 in the conference. Yes, there are two weeks left after that, but that is still a kind of surprising turn of events. Seattle tried to come back against the Jags last week…as Russell Wilson has been pretty amazing in the 4th quarter all by himself this season…but came up short. The ‘Hawks are hurting all around, but you can’t ever count them out.
Seattle 34, Los Angeles Rams 27.
New England (-2.5) at Pittsburgh
I love it how after a game in which the Patriots and, in particular, Tom Brady, play atrociously, then the sky is falling, the Pats “dynasty” is over and Brady is washed up. Happens at least once a year and then the Pats and Brady then repeatedly prove everyone wrong. Now look, this all will happen someday. The Pats are banged up, Brady included. Pittsburgh is a pretty good team, albeit one that gave up 38 to a poor Raven offense last week. But will it happen this year? No. And not this week. If it does, then it may be time to worry. Let’s also not forget that for whatever reason Brady sucks in Miami. And it was the second time in three weeks playing the Dolphins. And the Pats, though they will never admit it, were likely looking past Miami to this one. In the whole scheme of things, that game meant nothing. This game means everything. I’m expecting a few bodies to come back and for the ship to right itself. If I am wrong we will deal with that next week.
New England 42, Pittsburgh 34.
Tennessee at San Francisco (-1.5)
The Titans are probably the worst 8-5 team in the league. Wait…only Atlanta and Seattle are 8-5 across the league, so that claim was too easy. Anyway, when is this Marcus Mariota kid going to take the next step? I am not impressed. Look at their schedule and results this year. Unimpressive, to be kind. They’ve actually given up 21 more points than they have scored on the season. Though they can pretty much thank two blowout losses to the Texans and Steelers for that. But still. This team does nothing for me and with any luck they will make the playoffs and the AFC Championship and the Pats can blast them easily en route to the Super Bowl. Ok, I’m getting off track…and waaaaaaaaaaaay ahead of myself. In any event, they aren’t that good. The Niners appear to be better now that Jimmy Football is in charge. SF is at home. I’m going 49ers.
San Francisco 17, Tennessee 16.
Dallas (-2.5) at Oakland
Two teams with high expectations coming into the season. Both underachieving, to say the least. No Zeke for Dallas hasn’t helped. I’m not sure what Oakland’s problem has been…other than the fact that Jack del Rio is their coach. And their receivers drop like 20 balls a game. We will have to get through this one in prime time somehow. Not expecting much.
Dallas 31, Oakland 17.
Atlanta (-6.5) at Tampa Bay
Speaking of prime time, we have this on Monday. Tampa has lost 7 of 9, with the two wins against the Jets and Dolphins. The Falcons have been inconsistent this year, but have won 4 of 5, with the loss coming to Minnesota. This one shouldn’t be close. I’m sure Atlanta will make it closer that it has to be however.
Atlanta 30, Tampa Bay 17.
Week (against the spread): 1-0
Week (straight up): 1-0
Season (against the spread): 113-96
Season (straight up): 137-72
Posted on December 16, 2017, in Uncategorized and tagged Aaron Rodgers, AFC Championship, Antonio Brown, Ben Roethlisberger, Bill Belichick, Carson Wentz, gambling, home field advantage, Le'Veon Bell, Marcus Mariota, Mike Tomlin, New England Patriots, Nick Foles, Philip Rivers, Pittsburgh Steelers, point spreads, Rob Gronkowski, Super Bowl, Tom Brady, Week Fifteen. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.