It’s way too early to pick all the games for the week. But it’s a Holiday week. So here is my short and sweet Holiday edition…Happy Thanksgiving everyone!
Minnesota (-2.5) at Detroit
The Vikings coaches have been waiting for a chance to replace the hot Case Keenum at QB. Teddy Bridgewater has returned from injury after about a year and a half on the shelf. This may be the week.
Detroit 27, Minnesota 24.
Los Angeles Chargers at Dallas (-1.5)
The Cowboys have scored 16 total points the last two weeks against the Falcons and Eagles. I have to imagine this will change on Turkey Day. Jerry Jones is indeed a big turkey, but still…
Dallas 30, Los Angeles Chargers 21.
New York Giants at Washington (-7.5)
Nice win by the Giants over Kansas City Sunday. But I’m saying that was more about the Chiefs not being as good as everyone thinks they are, than the Giants all of a sudden trending back up. The ‘Skins did choke their game away against New Orleans, but I think they rebound here.
Washington 38, New York Giants 13.
Buffalo at Kansas City (-9.5)
I expect KC to rebound, but 9.5 is too high. I’m assuming the Bills are going back to Tyrod Taylor. Don’t they have to? If they go back to Taylor, the feeling here is Buffalo keeps it somewhat close…cuz again, the Chiefs are overrated. If somehow they stick with Nathan Peterman, the Chiefs may win by a hundred.
Kansas City 27, Buffalo 20.
Tennessee (-3.5) at Indianapolis
The Titans have had 10 days to prepare, the Colts 14. Coincidentally, they both lost their previous game to the Steelers. The Colts only lost by three, while the Titans got hammered. Jacoby Brissett I think is expected to play. Not that he makes a huge difference, but he’s a lot better than Scott Tolzien. Indy is at home, but Tennesee is the better team. I think.
Tennessee 23, Indianapolis 17.
Cleveland at Cincinnati (-8.5)
Cleveland is 0-10, but have hung around a lot of their games before collapsing at the end. Cincy shouldn’t be favored by this much over anyone, even if the opponents are 0-10.
Cincinnati 20, Cleveland 14.
Tampa Bay at Atlanta (-8.5)
I thought Atlanta was done. Perhaps I was wrong.
Atlanta 34, Tampa Bay 17.
Miami at New England (-16.5)
The Pats should roll. But I’m wary of them coming back home after two weeks…and two dominant victories…and getting a little too comfy. I’m probably wrong, but 16.5 seems like a lot.
New England 27, Miami 13.
Chicago at Philadelphia (-13.5)
13.5 is also a lot. But the Eagles are clicking on all cylinders right now and I don’t feel like the Bears will put up much of a fight.
Philadelphia 34, Chicago 17.
Carolina (-4.5) at New York Jets
I’ll pretty much always pick against the Jets. That it’s only 4.5 points makes it even easier.
Carolina 31, New York Jets 17.
Seattle (-7.5) at San Francisco
The Seahawks are banged up on D and the O-Line and have zero running game. Hard to believe any of this will matter against the Niners. Hopefully, we will get to see the debut of Jimmy Garoppolo though. That’s something to watch for anyway.
Seattle 34, San Francisco 14.
New Orleans at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5)
The Rams played a good team last Sunday in Minnesota and were shut down. The Saints came back against the ‘Skins, as noted above. The Saints have won eight in a row now. This week, it’s the Saints’ turn to get shut down…a little anyway. I still can’t believe these teams are a combined 15-5 this year.
Los Angeles Rams 30, New Orleans 27.
Jacksonville (-4.5) at Arizona
Blaine Gabbert everyone! The Jaguars defense has given up 24 fewer points than anyone else in the league. So why am I going against the 7-3 Jaguars this week? Maybe because I am writing this on a Tuesday…
Arizona 20, Jacksonville 17.
Denver at Oakland (-4.5)
Two teams that have imploded this year, so who do you pick? Two words will guide you: Paxton Lynch.
Oakland 24, Denver 13.
Green Bay at Pittsburgh (-14.5)
The Pack have obviously not been the same since Aaron Rodgers went down. Brett Hundley has not looked good…an understatement, I know. They have injuries elsewhere. The Steelers routed the Titans and have had 10 days between games. But they haven’t actually blown a ton of teams away en route to their 8-2 record. 14.5 seems like a lot here, but again, simply a hunch.
Pittsburgh 31, Green Bay 17.
Houston at Baltimore (-7.5)
Not buying into the Ravens. Even at home against the Texans. I guess they will still actually win the game though.
Baltimore 17, Houston 14.
Week (against the spread): 9-5
Week (straight up): 10-4
Season (against the spread): 80-80
Season (straight up): 103-57
Posted on November 22, 2017, in Uncategorized and tagged Case Keenum, gambling, Miami Dolphins, Nathan Peterman, New England Patriots, NFL, NFL picks, point spreads, Teddy Bridgewater, Thanksgiving, Tyrod Taylor, Week Twelve. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.