Boston Red Sox first half review…kind of?
I suppose we really don’t need to rehash the first half of the Major League Baseball season, as far as the Red Sox are concerned. We all know the deal. They are a better than expected 49-38, 2 games out of first place. The offense has been largely good. The pitching has been largely a disappointment, to be kind. Young everyday players, like Xander Bogaerts, Mookie Betts and Jackie Bradley Jr. are blossoming right in front of our eyes. David Ortiz is having a monster farewell season at the age of 40. David Price and Craig Kimbrel have not made the difference their profile would suggest. Clay Buchholz and Eduardo Rodriguez have been abject disasters. Steven Wright has been a revelation. Fat Panda is, well…still fat. And for his 19 mil the team got an 0 for the season. Ok, in only six at bats before his injury…but the point remains the same. Blah, blah, blah…
We know all that. Let’s focus on what one man thinks they SHOULD do in the 2nd half of this year. Before we get to that, my thinking is that Dave Dombrowski has gotten off to a pretty good start with the minor deals he has made thus far. Well, I am not sure why he felt the need to get a 33-year-old utility man who has a .199 career average in Michael Martinez. I mean, don’t we have a guy like that already in Brock Holt? And what was Marco Hernandez doing wrong? I guess the move was made because those two both bat from the left side and Martinez is a switch hitter. And they still plan to play Holt a ton in left field it would seem. Whatever.
But I like the move for Aaron Hill. I don’t mind Travis Shaw. But despite the hot start, I never considered him an everyday player…at third or at first. A bunch of at-bats off the bench at both positions? Sure. And it appears that this will be the case going forward. Hill isn’t going to hit 36 bombs like he did in 2009 with Toronto. But he will be a useful addition. At what appears to be a minimal cost…with 2 “prospects” going the other way. Wendell Rijo is only 20, so maybe he will be something. But he was hitting .186 in AA. Doesn’t look good. Aaron Wilkerson was pitching well in Pawtucket. But he’s 27 years old himself and has never made the majors. Doesn’t look like a big loss.
I also like the move for Brad Ziegler. Not a prototypical closer, but he wasn’t supposed to come here as a closer anyway. But hopefully he will close here with Kimbrel now out. As much as I love Koji Uehara, this year he has been…shaky (done?). Junichi Tazawa has apparently been battling a shoulder ailment (and is now on the DL)…but he’s never been considered a closer anyway. Robbie Ross Jr. had some saves down the stretch last year…but on a bad team. Plus John Farrell forgets he has him in his bullpen half the time. So that won’t work. The end result is that Ziegler may now be currently the best reliever in the bullpen. Yikes! But it’s a good move regardless. It doesn’t appear that Ziegler’s cost was much, though maybe a bit more than Hill’s. Jose Almonte, a 20-year-old pitcher that was in Single-A, and Luis Alejandro Basabe, a 19-year-old middle infielder that was in the same location. Young, yes. But I don’t ever recall seeing them on any “Top Prospect” lists.
After all that preamble, let’s get to the Blowhard’s suggestions. Once again, in no particular order.
*Trade for a young #1 or #2 starter using the systems’ supposed plethora of prospects. I know, I know, I know. Who wouldn’t do this? But the point is, the Sox CAN make this happen more than most other teams. According to many people around the game, the Sox have several “can’t miss” prospects. Yoan Moncada, Andrew Benintendi, Anderson Espinoza, Rafael Devers, maybe even that knucklehead Michael Kopech…yup, you’ve heard all the names.
The Sox should pick their top 2 or 3 guys and keep them. And unload anyone and everyone else. After all, for how long have we heard guys like Will Middlebrooks, Garin Cecchini, Casey Kelly, Bryce Brentz (before he shot himself accidentally in the leg in 2013 maybe), Henry Owens, Brian Johnson, Brian Rose, Wilton Veras and countless others were “can’t miss”? Exactly. Some of these guys won’t make it. Most of them actually. So while their names are hot, get rid of them.
OR, if they decide they will pay Xander and Mookie and not Jackie eventually, deal JBJ. Assuming Benintendi will come up and take his place at some point soon enough. OR, if the thought of engaging with Scott Boras down the road will leave them with so much distaste, trade Xander (heresy!!). Assuming Moncada will come up and take his place eventually.
Now, I am not advocating trading Xander, no, not at all. I actually would still consider trading JBJ, for the record. Still not 100% sold on him long-term. Even though I may be getting there. Anyway, ideally, I’d go with trading a boatload of prospects. But I think you get my overall point. You have things people want. You have a big hole…throughout the entire organization…with starting pitcher depth. Go get a stud. Now.
After all, wouldn’t every single person do Carl Pavano and Tony Armas Jr. for Pedro Martinez again?
EDITOR’S NOTE: I wrote the previous 900 or so words earlier, then put it aside for several hours. In the interim, the Sox apparently traded Espinoza for “All-Star” Drew Pomeranz. I use the word “All-Star” loosely of course. Listen, Pomeranz has had a nice half-year…on a poor team with no pressure…in a pitcher’s park. Not to mention that he was an injury replacement for the All-Star game this year. He has been with 3 teams in his 6 year major league career. He was essentially traded for the immortal Yonder Alonso after last season. He has never pitched more than 147 1/3 innings in a full year professionally and stands at 102 right now.
In other words, not exactly the trade I was looking for when I mentioned packaging prospects…especially top ones.
But you know what? I’ll take it. Not that I have a choice. But Pomeranz is only 27. Under team control for a couple more years. Showed some promise in 2014 with Oakland (I know, another pressure cooker!) before he punched a chair after a bad start. Stupid, I know…but who knows, maybe if Kopech makes it to Boston someday they can hang out. More importantly, Espinoza is 18 YEARS OLD. Who the hell knows what he will be? Some people were all worked up the Sox gave up 17-year-old Engel Beltre back in the Eric Gagne trade. Who? Exactly.
Espinoza could be the next Pedro Martinez, sure. But the odds are way better that he becomes the next Casey Kelly…or Brian Rose. Plus…anything can happen before he gets to the majors. Specifically injury…like a major arm kind. He’s a loooooooooooong ways away folks. I’d rather bet on some of the positional prospects than the pitching prospects, if I had to. In any event, maybe it works out, maybe it doesn’t. We shall see.
I’m still going after the #1 or #2 type guy as well though…moving on…
*Release Clay Buchholz. Goes without saying. And I’ve still said it a ton. But Farrell is making noise about putting him back in the rotation eventually. Maybe the acquisition of Pomeranz changes that thinking. Either way, it’s well past time. Coincidentally, they need to make space on the 40-man roster for Pomeranz. Someone has to go. Maybe it is finally him? I’m looking at the 40-man and the obvious choice to me is to DFA Sean O’Sullivan. But he is on the 15 day DL, so I don’t know if they CAN make that move. Maybe Josh Rutledge is transferred to the 60 day DL. Or same for Chris Young. But there aren’t many options at this point. DFA Clay? Let’s get everyone on board!!
*Get one other 5th or 6th starter type. This shouldn’t cost much. If the Sox got a number #2 guy this month as I mentioned above, the rotation would look like this: Price, #2, Porcello, Pomeranz, Wright. Eduardo Rodriguez would theoretically be the #6 guy. He’s been terrible, but no one should be giving him away or counting him out now. Plenty of promise there. And he has at least some positive major league history. This other guy would actually be #7. Better than Buchholz. Or Joe Kelly. Or Owens. Good to have some more depth.
*Add another top-notch bullpen guy and a veteran “middle inning” guy. As of right this second, with Taz and Kimbrel (Carson Smith too of course) on the DL, the bullpen consists of: Buchholz, William Cuevas, Tommy Layne, Heath Hembree, Ross, Koji, Matt Barnes and Ziegler…Double Yikes!! Matt Barnes may be your second best reliever now. Ugh.
We’ve gone over Bucky. Cuevas, (also Noe Ramirez, Pat Light, Roenis Elias)? Not any kind of answer. Layne has been ok, but is fungible. No bigger Hembree guy than me. But who knows with him? He’s never been around long enough to know how he will hold up in a pennant race. Ross is ok, but Koji may be done. Barnes? Not a fan myself. Hopefully Ziegler can do something. But…a lot of question marks as you can see.
Perhaps Joe Kelly is that “middle inning” guy? Maybe. Can’t be worse than some of the aforementioned dudes. It appears he will get a chance. I’m ok with it.
If they get the 2 bullpen guys, then the 7 they carry until either injured guys come back and/or September callups can be something like: Kelly/vet, Ross, Barnes, Layne, Koji, Bullpen trade target, Ziegler…still questionable, but if the guy you get is awesome, then that will be a major boost. Hate to leave Hembree out, but you can stash him in Pawtucket like Kelly for a few weeks if you have to. The vet could be a 13th type of pitcher with experience and he could also be in AAA for now. Maybe give Koji a “rest” on the DL. Just mix and match arms until Taz and Kimbrel come back. Then in September you have a lot of half decent arms out there. Anchored by Kimbrel, Ziegler, Taz and trade guy. With depth in Koji, Barnes, Ross, Kelly, other vet, Hembree, etc. And no Noe’s or Light’s in sight either.
Bottom line? Never hurts to have more than enough bullpen arms. The Sox bullpen won’t become like the back-end of the Royals or Yankees…this year anyway. But if they can just have more available options than what has sometimes paraded through the mound for them up to this point, it will help close the gap.
*Fire John Farrell. Ok, that’s not going to happen. He’s here for the season now I feel. Like it or not. And honestly, firing him at this point will probably not accomplish much. Oh well.
What else? Nothing actually. Pitching, pitching, pitching. That’s it.
The Sox can live with Sandy Leon/Ryan Hanigan/Christian Vazquez/Blake Swihart(?) behind the plate. Especially if Leon continues to hit .455. That’s possible, right?
They can also live with Holt/Brentz/Young/Swihart(?)/Shaw(?) in left field I believe. Maybe Benintendi comes up in September and adds to that mix. Pretty sure they wouldn’t want to add him to the 40-man roster before they have to. But perhaps he forces the issue.
The biggest thing they have to do on offense I feel is to keep the Big Guy healthy. Give him a day off a week if you have to. They should be able to work their way around that with the bodies they have. Big Papi’s sick numbers are bound to regress a little anyway. So let’s keep him fresh for the stretch run. I know, he’s only a DH and gets up 4-5 times a game. How much can that affect him? I would normally agree with that thinking. And have argued that over the years. But now he is 40…old for sports. Let’s err on the side of caution in his final year.
There are a lot of teams in the mix all across baseball. But, especially in the AL, I don’t believe one team stands head and shoulders above the rest. The World Series is a realistic goal. When World Series aspirations are realistic, you need to go for it. Let’s leave no stone unturned in order to get there.
Posted on July 14, 2016, in Uncategorized and tagged Aaron Hill, All-Star Game, Anderson Espinoza, Andrew Benintendi, Big Papi, Boston Red Sox, Brad Ziegler, bullpen, Craig Kimbrel, Dave Dombrowski, David Ortiz, David Price, Drew Pomeranz, Fenway Park, John Farrell, MLB, Starting pitcher, Steven Wright, trading deadline, World Series, Yoan Moncada. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.