And so it begins…

You should start a blog, they say.  Actually, “they” have said that for quite some time now.  Ok, why not, you say…finally.  What the hell?  So here goes…

Let’s start with the Sox.  Why?  More prepared for that I guess.  Got some projections ready that I pretty much snatched out of thin air.  We can talk about the immortal Wade Redden some other time.

Before we get to the projections, let’s make sure we don’t get all fired up about the 1-0 Red Sox at this point.  Anytime you can beat the Yanks on their home field on Opening Day it is nice, don’t get me wrong.  But those weren’t the Yanks Monday.  Travis Hafner?  Ben Francisco?  Jayson Nix?  Eduardo Nunez?  CC Sabathia throwing at reduced velocity?  Ummm…I think not.

As for the Sox side…Lester…only 5 innings against that lineup?  Salty walking 3 times…probably won’t happen again in his career.  Iglesias’ (as much as I’d like him to stay at SS, even with Drew returning) 3 hits were nice…but nubbers…and 2 AB’s with the sacks juiced…nothing.  5 relievers…why?  Etc.

Without further adieu, the 2013 projections for the Opening Day Lineup:

Player G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
Ellsbury 135 585 87 172 41 7 13 71 76 86 26 9 0.294 0.377 0.455 0.831
Victorino 150 573 78 153 34 4 8 62 52 79 24 7 0.267 0.329 0.382 0.711
Pedroia 152 615 96 187 47 3 16 81 67 53 18 3 0.304 0.376 0.468 0.844
Napoli 110 416 61 106 25 0 23 71 53 112 0 1 0.255 0.342 0.481 0.822
Middlebrooks 155 605 87 172 33 2 24 85 71 124 2 4 0.284 0.359 0.464 0.823
Saltalamacchia 115 390 44 95 18 0 18 47 33 101 0 1 0.244 0.303 0.428 0.731
Gomes 124 383 48 88 21 1 23 58 41 116 1 2 0.230 0.306 0.470 0.776
Bradley 60 155 26 38 9 2 3 21 18 34 7 3 0.245 0.330 0.387 0.717
Iglesias 62 187 14 38 8 2 0 10 11 36 6 2 0.203 0.247 0.267 0.515

Brief thoughts on each player:

*Ellsbury–2011 ain’t happening again folks.  Looking for him to can Boras and hire Jay-Z now though.

*Victorino–Not a fan of this signing.  Will accumulate stats based on the fact he will likely play most of the games.

*Pedroia–Should be steady as usual.  But might it be time to consider trading him as he approaches 30?  Wouldn’t be popular, but may be worth seeing what value he would return.

*Napoli–One dominant half season in seven major league seasons.  Worth 3 years, 39 mil.  Oops, I mean 1 year, 5 mil plus incentives.  Actually, I am ok with that.

*Middlebrooks–Hope to see continued progression with the kid.  Think he’ll have a decent year, Hope he blows up and hits over 30 dongs though.

*Salty–Can live with him and Ross behind the plate…this year.  really hope Lavarnway finds his stroke in AAA though.

*Gomes–Ugh.  Well, he’s a good clubhouse guy anyway.  Few of those over the past couple of years.  May have been generous with the bombs.  But he’s capable at least of that.

*Bradley–Will no doubt get the 20 days in the minors he needs to push his free agent clock back.  I expect it to be more, obviously.  But will show promise.  And then be the CF in 2014.

*Iglesias–May never learn to hit.  Will get consistent AB’s in AAA though, as soon as next week.  Hopefully doesn’t get hurt again though.  Not much trade value now, so hopefully he can bat at least .225 at some point.  Hard to overlook that D.

Rest of the projections to follow soon…

 

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About mpdenton

I am a passionate and life long fan of the local teams...and by local I mean New England. I remember the days of Ray Bourque, Larry Bird, Steve Grogan and Wade Boggs...meaning I have lived the highs and lows of the Boston sports scene. With all this pent up Boston sports emotion, I clearly have a lot to say about the local teams and sometimes about sports in general. Maybe even the Revolution... I appreciate you reading my blog and hope you enjoy my rants.

Posted on April 3, 2013, in Uncategorized and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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